L’École des cotesFrançais
Real Madrid v Barcelona
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Real Madrid (Local)
Prévision 10.60%9.44cote équitable
EV +11.28%
Avantage +1.07%
Kelly +1.19%
Croissance +0.134%
avec la cote maximale 10.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.69%10.61%10.62%13.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.938.498.5010.5014.43%11.78%11.76%9.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Barcelona (Visiteur)
Prévision 76.13%1.31cote équitable
EV -4.08%
Avantage -3.24%
Kelly -15.69%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.26
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.25%76.13%76.21%77.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.111.211.201.2690.09%82.86%83.33%79.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 13.27%7.53cote équitable
EV +6.45%
Avantage +0.805%
Kelly +0.919%
Croissance +0.059%
avec la cote maximale 8.02
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.67%13.26%13.17%15.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.006.766.508.0216.67%14.80%15.38%12.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV +11.28%E +1.07%K +1.19%G +0.134% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.28%EV -10.17%E -8.62%K -56.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-25 17:38 |
| BoyleSports | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.73%EV +0.685%E +0.072%K +0.081%G +0.001% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.06%EV -8.65%E -7.21%K -43.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| DraftKings | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.52%EV -4.61%E -0.513%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.64%EV -7.12%E -5.84%K -32.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.84%EV +6.19%E +0.774%K +0.884%G +0.055% | 5.6% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -4.61%E -0.513%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.52%EV -4.84%E -3.87%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV -10.40%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-25 17:39 |
| Coolbet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -4.61%E -0.513%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -4.84%E -3.87%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-25 14:45 |
| Grosvenor | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -4.61%E -0.513%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.27%EV -5.60%E -4.52%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| Casumo | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -4.61%E -0.513%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.27%EV -5.60%E -4.52%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-25 17:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -4.61%E -0.513%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.27%EV -5.60%E -4.52%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| Unibet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -4.61%E -0.513%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.27%EV -5.60%E -4.52%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -4.61%E -0.513%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.27%EV -5.60%E -4.52%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| betPARX | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -4.61%E -0.513%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.27%EV -5.60%E -4.52%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -4.61%E -0.513%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.64%EV -8.65%E -7.21%K -43.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-25 17:25 |
| Betsson | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.16%EV -4.61%E -0.513%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.19%EV -8.65%E -7.21%K -43.23%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.65%EV -11.07%E -1.65%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-25 17:25 |
| NordicBet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.16%EV -4.61%E -0.513%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.19%EV -8.65%E -7.21%K -43.23%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.65%EV -11.07%E -1.65%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-25 17:25 |
| BetMGM | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.66%EV -7.26%E -0.830%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.47%EV -7.12%E -5.84%K -32.38%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.87%EV -3.77%E -0.520%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-25 17:25 |
| Pinnacle | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.33%EV -7.89%E -6.52%K -37.55%G +0.000% | 8.02I 12.47%NM 11.67%EV +6.45%E +0.805%K +0.919%G +0.059% | 6.9% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.16%EV -8.65%E -7.21%K -43.23%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.95%EV +2.87%E +0.370%K +0.425%G +0.012% | 8.0% | 2026-03-25 17:21 |
| Betway | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -7.12%E -5.84%K -32.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -20.36%E -3.39%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| LeoVegas | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.01%EV -8.65%E -7.21%K -43.23%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.40%EV -17.04%E -2.73%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| Paddy Power | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.64%EV -10.93%E -9.34%K -64.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-25 17:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.52%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.17%EV -9.41%E -7.91%K -49.51%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.31%EV -17.04%E -2.73%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.52%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.17%EV -9.41%E -7.91%K -49.51%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.31%EV -17.04%E -2.73%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-25 17:39 |
| SportsBet | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.31%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 76.21%EV -12.45%E -10.83%K -83.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.48%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-25 17:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -15.21%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.04%EV -7.12%E -5.84%K -32.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -0.448%E -0.060%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-25 17:29 |
| Bovada | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -15.21%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.68%EV -8.65%E -7.21%K -43.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.97%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-25 17:39 |
| Coral | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -15.21%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.93%EV -8.65%E -7.21%K -43.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.83%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-25 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -15.21%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.93%EV -8.65%E -7.21%K -43.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.83%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-25 17:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.60%EV -15.21%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 76.36%EV -15.50%E -13.96%K -140.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.04%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-03-25 17:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.32%EV -16.27%E -2.06%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.49%EV -8.65%E -7.21%K -43.23%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.19%EV -16.38%E -2.60%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| 888sport | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV -20.51%E -2.73%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.37%EV -8.65%E -7.21%K -43.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.73%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| William Hill | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV -20.51%E -2.73%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.37%EV -8.65%E -7.21%K -43.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.73%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV -20.51%E -2.73%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.37%EV -8.65%E -7.21%K -43.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.73%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-25 17:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV -20.51%E -2.73%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.37%EV -8.65%E -7.21%K -43.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.73%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.71%EV -20.51%E -2.73%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 75.74%EV -11.69%E -10.08%K -73.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.55%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| 1xBet | 6.93I 14.43%NM 13.53%EV -26.55%E -3.83%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.43%EV -4.08%E -3.24%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 7.79I 12.84%NM 12.04%EV +3.40%E +0.437%K +0.501%G +0.017% | 6.6% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.45% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.74% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.45% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.74% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.45% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.74% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| Smarkets | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.69% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.55% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.76% | 3.2% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |