赔率学院

Manchester United v Bayern Munich

开赛时间： 2026-03-25 20:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Manchester United (主队)

预测 26.85%3.72公平赔率
EV -2.00%
优势 -0.549%
Kelly -0.756%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.65

博彩公司预测分布
25.33%27.07%26.90%30.83%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.963.423.403.6533.78%29.20%29.41%27.40%MIN均值中位数MAX

Bayern Munich (客队)

预测 49.31%2.03公平赔率
EV +1.08%
优势 +0.528%
Kelly +1.03%
增长率 +0.011%

假设最高赔率为 2.05

博彩公司预测分布
44.51%49.25%49.27%51.44%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.621.831.832.0561.73%54.53%54.50%48.78%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 23.84%4.19公平赔率
EV +3.72%
优势 +0.854%
Kelly +1.11%
增长率 +0.041%

假设最高赔率为 4.35

博彩公司预测分布
21.59%23.68%23.83%24.66%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.603.813.804.3527.78%26.25%26.32%22.99%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Pinnacle3.43I 29.15%NM 27.38%EV -7.91%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.04%EV -9.27%E -5.04%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +3.72%E +0.854%K +1.11%G +0.041%6.5%2026-03-25 19:56
DraftKings3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.78%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV +2.52%E +0.587%K +0.765%G +0.019%5.3%2026-03-25 19:45
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -13.71%E -7.83%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -4.63%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-25 19:54
Bovada3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -11.24%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -5.82%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-25 19:54
Unibet (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.68%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-25 19:35
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.25%EV -16.18%E -9.52%K -23.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.34%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-25 19:56
Coolbet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -2.00%E -0.549%K -0.756%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.65%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -8.21%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 19:56
Svenska Spel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.34%E -0.929%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.61%EV -6.81%E -3.60%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -8.21%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-25 19:50
Betclic (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.73%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -8.21%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-25 19:34
Betsson3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.39%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -8.21%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-25 19:35
NordicBet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.39%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -8.21%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-25 19:35
Casumo3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -4.69%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -7.30%E -3.88%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.40%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-25 19:50
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -4.69%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -7.30%E -3.88%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.40%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-25 19:50
Grosvenor3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -4.69%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -7.30%E -3.88%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.40%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-25 19:50
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -4.69%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -7.30%E -3.88%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.40%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-25 19:50
ATG (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -4.69%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -7.30%E -3.88%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.40%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-25 19:46
betPARX3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -4.69%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -7.30%E -3.88%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.40%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-25 19:51
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.34%E -0.929%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.24%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.40%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-25 19:49
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.40%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-25 19:09
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -14.08%E -4.40%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.11%EV -11.24%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -9.40%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-25 19:55
BetOnline.ag2.96I 33.78%NM 30.83%EV -20.53%E -6.94%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.51%EV +1.08%E +0.528%K +1.03%G +0.011%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.78%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-25 19:55
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.52%EV -10.26%E -5.64%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -11.78%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-25 19:46
PMU (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 26.04%EV -14.08%E -4.40%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 51.44%EV -20.12%E -12.42%K -32.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.52%EV -11.78%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-25 19:55
LiveScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.44%EV -11.24%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.38%EV -12.97%E -3.55%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-25 19:50
Virgin Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.44%EV -11.24%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.38%EV -12.97%E -3.55%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-25 19:50
NetBet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 49.67%EV -12.72%E -7.19%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -12.97%E -3.55%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-25 19:55
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.24%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.17%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-25 19:55
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.24%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.17%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-25 19:56
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.24%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.17%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-25 19:55
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.24%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.17%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-25 19:55
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-03-25 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.58%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%0.6%2026-03-25 19:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.58%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%0.6%2026-03-25 19:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.85%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48%1.2%2026-03-25 19:55