L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Manchester United v Bayern Munich
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Manchester United (Local)
Prévision 26.85%3.72cote équitable
EV -2.00%
Avantage -0.549%
Kelly -0.756%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.33%27.07%26.90%30.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.963.423.403.6533.78%29.20%29.41%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Bayern Munich (Visiteur)
Prévision 49.31%2.03cote équitable
EV +1.08%
Avantage +0.528%
Kelly +1.03%
Croissance +0.011%
avec la cote maximale 2.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.51%49.25%49.27%51.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.831.832.0561.73%54.53%54.50%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 23.84%4.19cote équitable
EV +3.72%
Avantage +0.854%
Kelly +1.11%
Croissance +0.041%
avec la cote maximale 4.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.59%23.68%23.83%24.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.813.804.3527.78%26.25%26.32%22.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.38%EV -7.91%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.04%EV -9.27%E -5.04%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +3.72%E +0.854%K +1.11%G +0.041% | 6.5% | 2026-03-25 19:56 |
| DraftKings | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.78%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV +2.52%E +0.587%K +0.765%G +0.019% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 19:45 |
| Paddy Power | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -13.71%E -7.83%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -4.63%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-25 19:54 |
| Bovada | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -11.24%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -5.82%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-25 19:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.68%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-25 19:35 |
| SportsBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.25%EV -16.18%E -9.52%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.34%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-25 19:56 |
| Coolbet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -2.00%E -0.549%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.65%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -8.21%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-25 19:56 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.34%E -0.929%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.61%EV -6.81%E -3.60%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -8.21%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-25 19:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.73%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -8.21%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-25 19:34 |
| Betsson | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.39%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -8.21%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-25 19:35 |
| NordicBet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.39%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -8.21%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-25 19:35 |
| Casumo | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -4.69%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -7.30%E -3.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.40%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-25 19:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -4.69%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -7.30%E -3.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.40%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-25 19:50 |
| Grosvenor | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -4.69%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -7.30%E -3.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.40%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-25 19:50 |
| Unibet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -4.69%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -7.30%E -3.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.40%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-25 19:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -4.69%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -7.30%E -3.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.40%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-25 19:46 |
| betPARX | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -4.69%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -7.30%E -3.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.40%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-25 19:51 |
| Bet Victor | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.34%E -0.929%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.24%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.40%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-25 19:49 |
| Betway | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.40%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-25 19:09 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -14.08%E -4.40%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.11%EV -11.24%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -9.40%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-25 19:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.96I 33.78%NM 30.83%EV -20.53%E -6.94%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.51%EV +1.08%E +0.528%K +1.03%G +0.011% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.78%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-25 19:55 |
| LeoVegas | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.52%EV -10.26%E -5.64%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -11.78%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-25 19:46 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.04%EV -14.08%E -4.40%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 51.44%EV -20.12%E -12.42%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.52%EV -11.78%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-03-25 19:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.44%EV -11.24%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.38%EV -12.97%E -3.55%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-25 19:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.44%EV -11.24%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.38%EV -12.97%E -3.55%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-25 19:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.67%EV -12.72%E -7.19%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -12.97%E -3.55%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-25 19:55 |
| 888sport | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.24%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.17%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-25 19:55 |
| William Hill | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.24%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.17%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-25 19:56 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.24%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.17%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-25 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.24%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.17%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-25 19:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 0.6% | 2026-03-25 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.58% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 0.6% | 2026-03-25 19:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.58% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 0.6% | 2026-03-25 19:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.85% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48% | 1.2% | 2026-03-25 19:55 |