La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Manchester United v Bayern Munich
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Manchester United (Local)
Predicción 26.85%3.72momio equitativo
EV -2.00%
Ventaja -0.549%
Kelly -0.756%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.33%27.07%26.90%30.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.963.423.403.6533.78%29.20%29.41%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Bayern Munich (Visitante)
Predicción 49.31%2.03momio equitativo
EV +1.08%
Ventaja +0.528%
Kelly +1.03%
Crecimiento +0.011%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.51%49.25%49.27%51.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.831.832.0561.73%54.53%54.50%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.84%4.19momio equitativo
EV +3.72%
Ventaja +0.854%
Kelly +1.11%
Crecimiento +0.041%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.59%23.68%23.83%24.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.813.804.3527.78%26.25%26.32%22.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (30 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.38%EV -7.91%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.04%EV -9.27%E -5.04%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV +3.72%E +0.854%K +1.11%G +0.041% | 6.5% | 2026-03-25 19:56 |
| DraftKings | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.78%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV +2.52%E +0.587%K +0.765%G +0.019% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 19:45 |
| Paddy Power | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -13.71%E -7.83%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -4.63%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-25 19:54 |
| Bovada | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -11.24%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -5.82%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-25 19:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.68%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-25 19:35 |
| SportsBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.25%EV -16.18%E -9.52%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.34%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-25 19:56 |
| Coolbet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -2.00%E -0.549%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.65%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -8.21%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-25 19:56 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.34%E -0.929%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.61%EV -6.81%E -3.60%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -8.21%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-25 19:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.73%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -8.21%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-25 19:34 |
| Betsson | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.39%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -8.21%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-25 19:35 |
| NordicBet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.39%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -8.21%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-25 19:35 |
| Casumo | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -4.69%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -7.30%E -3.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.40%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-25 19:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -4.69%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -7.30%E -3.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.40%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-25 19:50 |
| Grosvenor | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -4.69%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -7.30%E -3.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.40%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-25 19:50 |
| Unibet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -4.69%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -7.30%E -3.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.40%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-25 19:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -4.69%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -7.30%E -3.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.40%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-25 19:46 |
| betPARX | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -4.69%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -7.30%E -3.88%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.40%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-25 19:51 |
| Bet Victor | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.34%E -0.929%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.24%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.40%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-25 19:49 |
| Betway | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.40%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-25 19:09 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -14.08%E -4.40%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.11%EV -11.24%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -9.40%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-25 19:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.96I 33.78%NM 30.83%EV -20.53%E -6.94%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.51%EV +1.08%E +0.528%K +1.03%G +0.011% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.78%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-25 19:55 |
| LeoVegas | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.52%EV -10.26%E -5.64%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -11.78%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-25 19:46 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.04%EV -14.08%E -4.40%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 51.44%EV -20.12%E -12.42%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.52%EV -11.78%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-03-25 19:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.44%EV -11.24%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.38%EV -12.97%E -3.55%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-25 19:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.44%EV -11.24%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.38%EV -12.97%E -3.55%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-25 19:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.67%EV -12.72%E -7.19%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -12.97%E -3.55%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-25 19:55 |
| 888sport | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.24%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.17%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-25 19:55 |
| William Hill | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.24%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.17%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-25 19:56 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.24%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.17%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-25 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.24%E -6.25%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.17%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-25 19:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 0.6% | 2026-03-25 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.58% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 0.6% | 2026-03-25 19:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.58% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 0.6% | 2026-03-25 19:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.85% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48% | 1.2% | 2026-03-25 19:55 |