La scuola delle quote

Arsenal v Chelsea

Inizio: 2026-03-24 20:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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35 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Arsenal (Casa)

Previsione 49.72%2.01quota equa
EV -5.53%
Vantaggio -2.91%
Kelly -6.14%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.80%49.61%49.77%51.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.721.831.831.9058.14%54.57%54.64%52.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chelsea (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.82%3.87quota equa
EV +1.23%
Vantaggio +0.313%
Kelly +0.421%
Crescita +0.005%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.92

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.86%25.85%25.82%27.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.483.503.9232.26%28.70%28.57%25.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.45%4.09quota equa
EV -2.19%
Vantaggio -0.547%
Kelly -0.729%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.41%24.54%24.41%25.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.743.754.0029.41%26.76%26.67%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -9.50%E -5.22%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.86%EV +1.23%E +0.313%K +0.421%G +0.005%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.75%EV -7.57%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-24 19:49
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -10.50%E -5.83%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -1.87%E -0.492%K -0.668%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.97%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-24 19:54
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.84%EV -9.50%E -5.22%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.81%EV -3.68%E -0.986%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.08%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-24 19:38
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.36%EV -7.02%E -3.75%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -5.74%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -3.41%E -0.863%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-24 19:49
Parions Sport (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -9.50%E -5.22%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -5.74%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -4.63%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-24 19:54
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.69%EV -5.53%E -2.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.08%EV -4.14%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 17:10
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -8.30%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 19:35
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-24 19:34
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-24 19:35
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -7.02%E -3.75%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.97%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 19:14
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95%EV -6.52%E -3.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.16%EV -7.29%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.89%EV -3.90%E -0.992%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-24 19:50
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.01%EV -6.52%E -3.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -8.33%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -2.19%E -0.547%K -0.729%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-24 19:35
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 49.75%EV -9.01%E -4.92%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -8.33%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-24 19:52
Unibet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.94%EV -7.52%E -4.04%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -3.41%E -0.863%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-24 19:34
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.08%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -3.41%E -0.863%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-24 19:35
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.08%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -3.41%E -0.863%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-24 19:35
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.08%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -3.41%E -0.863%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-24 19:35
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.08%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -3.41%E -0.863%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-24 19:35
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.08%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -3.41%E -0.863%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-24 19:35
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.01%E -4.92%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -8.30%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-24 19:50
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.01%E -4.92%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-24 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.01%E -4.92%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-24 19:14
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.17%EV -12.98%E -7.42%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -10.91%E -3.16%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -11.97%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-24 19:34
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.20%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -8.30%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-24 19:50
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 50.08%EV -10.50%E -5.83%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -12.20%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -5.85%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-24 19:35
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.01%EV -11.49%E -6.46%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -13.49%E -4.03%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.42%EV -7.08%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-24 19:34
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.01%EV -11.49%E -6.46%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -13.49%E -4.03%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.42%EV -7.08%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-24 19:34
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.53%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-24 19:50
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -9.01%E -4.92%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-24 19:54
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -9.01%E -4.92%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-24 19:54
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -9.01%E -4.92%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-24 19:54
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -9.01%E -4.92%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-24 19:54
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.35%EV -10.50%E -5.83%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.78%EV -16.07%E -4.95%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-24 19:49
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -17.36%E -5.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -11.97%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-24 19:54
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 48.53%EV -14.48%E -8.42%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.92%EV -19.95%E -6.43%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.55%EV -16.86%E -4.96%K -7.02%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-24 19:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-03-24 19:55
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 49.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%1.7%2026-03-24 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%1.7%2026-03-24 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%1.7%2026-03-24 19:54