L’École des cotesFrançais
Arsenal v Chelsea
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Arsenal (Local)
Prévision 49.72%2.01cote équitable
EV -5.53%
Avantage -2.91%
Kelly -6.14%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.80%49.61%49.77%51.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.831.831.9058.14%54.57%54.64%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Chelsea (Visiteur)
Prévision 25.82%3.87cote équitable
EV +1.23%
Avantage +0.313%
Kelly +0.421%
Croissance +0.005%
avec la cote maximale 3.92
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.86%25.85%25.82%27.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.483.503.9232.26%28.70%28.57%25.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.45%4.09cote équitable
EV -2.19%
Avantage -0.547%
Kelly -0.729%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.41%24.54%24.41%25.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.743.754.0029.41%26.76%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -9.50%E -5.22%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.86%EV +1.23%E +0.313%K +0.421%G +0.005% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.75%EV -7.57%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-24 19:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -10.50%E -5.83%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -1.87%E -0.492%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.97%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-24 19:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.84%EV -9.50%E -5.22%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 24.81%EV -3.68%E -0.986%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.08%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-24 19:38 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.36%EV -7.02%E -3.75%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -5.74%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -3.41%E -0.863%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-24 19:49 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -9.50%E -5.22%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -5.74%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -4.63%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-24 19:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.69%EV -5.53%E -2.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.08%EV -4.14%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-24 17:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -8.30%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-24 19:35 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-24 19:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-24 19:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -7.02%E -3.75%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.97%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 19:14 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95%EV -6.52%E -3.47%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.16%EV -7.29%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.89%EV -3.90%E -0.992%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-24 19:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.01%EV -6.52%E -3.47%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -8.33%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -2.19%E -0.547%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-24 19:35 |
| Bovada | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.75%EV -9.01%E -4.92%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -8.33%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-24 19:52 |
| Unibet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.94%EV -7.52%E -4.04%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -3.41%E -0.863%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-24 19:34 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.08%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -3.41%E -0.863%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-24 19:35 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.08%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -3.41%E -0.863%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-24 19:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.08%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -3.41%E -0.863%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-24 19:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.08%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -3.41%E -0.863%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-24 19:35 |
| betPARX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.08%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -3.41%E -0.863%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-24 19:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.01%E -4.92%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -8.30%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-24 19:50 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.01%E -4.92%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-24 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.01%E -4.92%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-24 19:14 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.17%EV -12.98%E -7.42%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -10.91%E -3.16%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -11.97%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-24 19:34 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.20%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -8.30%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-24 19:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.08%EV -10.50%E -5.83%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -12.20%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -5.85%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-24 19:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.01%EV -11.49%E -6.46%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -13.49%E -4.03%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.42%EV -7.08%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-24 19:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.01%EV -11.49%E -6.46%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -13.49%E -4.03%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.42%EV -7.08%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-24 19:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.53%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-24 19:50 |
| 888sport | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -9.01%E -4.92%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-24 19:54 |
| William Hill | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -9.01%E -4.92%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-24 19:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -9.01%E -4.92%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-24 19:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -9.01%E -4.92%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-24 19:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.35%EV -10.50%E -5.83%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.78%EV -16.07%E -4.95%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-24 19:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -17.36%E -5.43%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -11.97%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-24 19:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 48.53%EV -14.48%E -8.42%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.92%EV -19.95%E -6.43%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.55%EV -16.86%E -4.96%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-03-24 19:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 0.9% | 2026-03-24 19:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.18% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59% | 1.7% | 2026-03-24 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.18% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59% | 1.7% | 2026-03-24 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.18% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59% | 1.7% | 2026-03-24 19:54 |