The School of Odds

Víkingur Reykjavík v Hapoel Be'er Sheva

2026-07-21 19:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Víkingur Reykjavík (Local)

Prediction 40.33%2.48fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.33%40.38%40.42%41.42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.152.282.302.4047%44%43%42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Hapoel Be'er Sheva (Visit)

Prediction 32.69%3.06fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -1.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.85%32.63%32.72%33.71%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.622.822.802.9538%35%36%34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 26.98%3.71fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -0.799%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.88%26.99%26.87%28.06%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.253.413.453.6031%29%29%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -3.20%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 04:04
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.22%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%EV -3.57%E -1.21%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 07:48
1xBet2.34I 42.74%NM 40.06%EV -5.62%E -2.40%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.88%EV -3.90%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.06%EV -9.89%E -2.96%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 04:05
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -6.43%E -2.77%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.85%EV -4.23%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -9.89%E -2.96%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 04:04
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -6.43%E -2.77%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -7.82%E -2.77%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 05:15
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -6.43%E -2.77%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -7.82%E -2.77%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 05:15
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.21%E -1.80%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 04:05
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 04:05
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-18 04:05
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-18 04:05
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-18 04:05
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.04%E -3.53%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-18 05:15
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -9.25%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 04:05
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -11.27%E -5.12%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 04:05
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -11.27%E -5.12%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 04:04
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -11.27%E -5.12%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-18 04:05
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.45%EV -13.28%E -6.18%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.19%EV -14.36%E -5.48%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.35%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-18 04:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 40.62%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.38%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.00%4.3%2026-07-18 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 40.62%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.38%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.00%4.3%2026-07-18 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.03%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%5.1%2026-07-18 09:05