The School of Odds
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Víkingur Reykjavík v Hapoel Be'er Sheva

Kickoff: 2026-07-21 19:00 UTC

Final: Víkingur Reykjavík 2–1 Hapoel Be'er Sheva

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Víkingur Reykjavík (Local)

Prediction 39.53%2.53fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.05%39.51%39.57%40.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.372.382.4544.44%42.19%42.02%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hapoel Be'er Sheva (Visit)

Prediction 33.76%2.96fair odd
EV -4.46%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -2.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.14%33.82%33.72%35.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.692.702.8340.00%37.18%37.04%35.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.71%3.74fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.321%
Kelly -0.440%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.53%26.67%26.71%27.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.473.453.7030.30%28.80%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Víkingur Reykjavík (Local): 39.53%; Hapoel Be'er Sheva (Visit): 33.76%; Draw: 26.71%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -1.19%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.03%EV -3.14%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.77%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.20%EV -2.52%E -0.691%K -0.952%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -3.94%E -1.62%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV -11.21%E -4.26%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 18:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -3.94%E -1.62%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV -11.21%E -4.26%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 18:50
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -3.94%E -1.62%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV -11.21%E -4.26%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 18:50
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -3.94%E -1.62%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV -11.21%E -4.26%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 18:50
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -3.94%E -1.62%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV -11.21%E -4.26%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -3.94%E -1.62%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV -11.21%E -4.26%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 18:50
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -3.94%E -1.62%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV -11.21%E -4.26%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -3.94%E -1.62%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV -11.21%E -4.26%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -3.94%E -1.62%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV -11.21%E -4.26%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 18:50
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -3.94%E -1.62%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV -11.21%E -4.26%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 18:50
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.86%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 18:55
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-21 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -1.19%E -0.321%K -0.440%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-21 18:50
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -3.86%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 18:40
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.91%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -6.14%E -2.21%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 18:50
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.91%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -6.14%E -2.21%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -5.91%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -12.22%E -4.70%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.20%E -2.71%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-21 18:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -5.91%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -12.22%E -4.70%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.20%E -2.71%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-21 18:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.54%EV -6.70%E -2.84%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.13%EV -8.13%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 18:55
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -7.10%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-21 18:55
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.10%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.53%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 18:49
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.10%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -12.22%E -4.70%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.86%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.93%EV -7.49%E -3.20%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.14%EV -4.79%E -1.70%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.93%EV -7.33%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 18:55
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.77%EV -7.89%E -3.39%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.56%EV -4.46%E -1.57%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -1.19%E -0.321%K -0.440%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 18:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.12%EV -7.89%E -3.39%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.62%EV -6.14%E -2.21%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.26%EV -4.93%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 18:50
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.07%E -3.95%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.53%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-21 18:48
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.07%E -3.95%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.20%E -2.71%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-21 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.07%E -3.95%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.20%E -2.71%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-21 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.07%E -3.95%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.20%E -2.71%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-21 18:50
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -9.07%E -3.95%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-21 18:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -9.07%E -3.95%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -15.60%E -6.24%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-21 18:50
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.05%E -4.91%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.55%E -4.41%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.20%E -2.71%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-21 18:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -11.05%E -4.91%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -11.21%E -4.26%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-21 18:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.96%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.75%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.29%0.1%2026-07-21 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.96%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.75%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.29%0.1%2026-07-21 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.96%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.75%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.29%0.1%2026-07-21 18:55