L’École des cotes

Víkingur Reykjavík v Hapoel Be'er Sheva

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-21 19:00 UTC

Score final : Víkingur Reykjavík 2–1 Hapoel Be'er Sheva

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (7 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Víkingur Reykjavík (Local)

Prévision 39.53%2.53cote équitable
EV -3.14%
Avantage -1.28%
Kelly -2.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.05%39.51%39.57%40.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.372.382.4544.44%42.19%42.02%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hapoel Be'er Sheva (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.76%2.96cote équitable
EV -4.46%
Avantage -1.57%
Kelly -2.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.14%33.82%33.72%35.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.692.702.8340.00%37.18%37.04%35.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.71%3.74cote équitable
EV -1.19%
Avantage -0.321%
Kelly -0.440%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.53%26.67%26.71%27.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.473.453.7030.30%28.80%28.99%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.03%EV -3.14%E -1.28%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.77%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.20%EV -2.52%E -0.691%K -0.952%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -3.94%E -1.62%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV -11.21%E -4.26%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 18:50
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -3.94%E -1.62%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV -11.21%E -4.26%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 18:50
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -3.94%E -1.62%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV -11.21%E -4.26%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 18:50
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -3.94%E -1.62%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV -11.21%E -4.26%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 18:50
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -3.94%E -1.62%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV -11.21%E -4.26%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 18:50
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -3.94%E -1.62%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV -11.21%E -4.26%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 18:50
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -3.94%E -1.62%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV -11.21%E -4.26%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 18:50
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -3.94%E -1.62%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV -11.21%E -4.26%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 18:50
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -3.94%E -1.62%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV -11.21%E -4.26%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 18:50
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -3.94%E -1.62%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV -11.21%E -4.26%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 18:50
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.86%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 18:55
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-21 18:55
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -1.19%E -0.321%K -0.440%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-21 18:50
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -3.86%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 18:40
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.91%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -6.14%E -2.21%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 18:50
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.91%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -6.14%E -2.21%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 18:50
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -5.91%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -12.22%E -4.70%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.20%E -2.71%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-21 18:50
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -5.91%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -12.22%E -4.70%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.20%E -2.71%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-21 18:50
Marathon Bet2.36I 42.37%NM 39.54%EV -6.70%E -2.84%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.13%EV -8.13%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 18:55
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -7.10%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -5.47%E -1.95%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-21 18:55
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.10%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.16%E -2.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.53%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 18:49
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.10%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -12.22%E -4.70%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.86%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 18:50
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 39.93%EV -7.49%E -3.20%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.14%EV -4.79%E -1.70%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.93%EV -7.33%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 18:55
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.77%EV -7.89%E -3.39%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.56%EV -4.46%E -1.57%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -1.19%E -0.321%K -0.440%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 18:54
BetOnline.ag2.33I 42.92%NM 40.12%EV -7.89%E -3.39%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.62%EV -6.14%E -2.21%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.26%EV -4.93%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 18:50
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.07%E -3.95%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.53%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-21 18:48
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.07%E -3.95%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.20%E -2.71%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-21 18:50
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.07%E -3.95%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.20%E -2.71%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-21 18:50
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.07%E -3.95%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.20%E -2.71%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-21 18:50
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -9.07%E -3.95%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.85%E -3.28%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-21 18:55
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -9.07%E -3.95%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -15.60%E -6.24%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-21 18:50
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.05%E -4.91%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.55%E -4.41%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.20%E -2.71%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-21 18:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -11.05%E -4.91%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -11.21%E -4.26%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-21 18:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.96%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.75%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.29%0.1%2026-07-21 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.96%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.75%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.29%0.1%2026-07-21 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.96%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.75%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.29%0.1%2026-07-21 18:55