The School of Odds
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Union Saint-Gilloise v Bodø/Glimt

2026-08-04 18:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Union Saint-Gilloise (Local)

Prediction 41.94%2.38fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -2.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.78%42.04%41.98%42.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.072.192.202.3048.31%45.59%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bodø/Glimt (Visit)

Prediction 31.51%3.17fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -0.745%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.71%31.36%31.48%32.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.993.053.1036.36%33.49%32.79%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.55%3.77fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.480%
Kelly -0.658%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.38%26.60%26.54%28.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.443.453.7031.25%29.08%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.68%EV -3.54%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.93%EV -2.31%E -0.745%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -7.09%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 11:05
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -3.54%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -8.61%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.43%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-30 12:49
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.64%E -2.50%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.61%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.43%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-30 12:49
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -5.64%E -2.50%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -10.19%E -3.57%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.41%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-30 09:30
Marathon Bet2.24I 44.64%NM 41.66%EV -6.05%E -2.70%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.90%EV -4.83%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.74%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-30 11:05
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.96%EV -6.89%E -3.11%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -1.78%E -0.480%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 12:50
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.96%EV -6.89%E -3.11%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -1.78%E -0.480%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 12:54
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.41%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-30 09:44
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.41%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-30 09:45
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.41%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-30 09:45
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.41%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-30 09:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.41%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-30 09:45
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.41%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-30 09:44
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.41%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-30 09:45
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.41%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-30 09:44
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.41%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-30 09:42
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -2.31%E -0.745%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -12.40%E -3.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-30 09:24
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.61%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.74%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-30 09:20
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.61%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.74%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-30 09:23
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.76%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.40%E -3.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-30 09:25
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -8.57%E -3.93%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -3.88%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.74%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-30 09:45
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.51%EV -10.25%E -4.79%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -5.46%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -11.07%E -3.30%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-30 09:09
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.51%EV -10.25%E -4.79%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -5.46%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -11.07%E -3.30%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-30 09:10
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.47%EV -11.09%E -5.23%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -8.61%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.74%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-30 12:54
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.93%E -5.68%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -5.46%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -15.05%E -4.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-30 10:44
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -11.93%E -5.68%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -13.34%E -4.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -7.09%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-30 12:45
PMU (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.54%EV -13.18%E -6.37%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -8.61%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.09%EV -13.72%E -4.22%K -6.10%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-30 09:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.