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Union Saint-Gilloise v Bodø/Glimt
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Union Saint-Gilloise (Local)
Predicción 37.84%2.64momio equitativo
EV -1.62%
Ventaja -0.622%
Kelly -1.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.17%37.84%37.82%39.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.282.452.432.6043.86%40.84%41.15%38.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Bodø/Glimt (Visitante)
Predicción 35.45%2.82momio equitativo
EV -1.09%
Ventaja -0.391%
Kelly -0.610%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.03%35.46%35.53%36.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.622.652.7940.00%38.15%37.74%35.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.71%3.74momio equitativo
EV -1.17%
Ventaja -0.318%
Kelly -0.435%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.55%26.70%26.65%27.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.483.503.7030.77%28.77%28.57%27.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Union Saint-Gilloise (Local): 37.84%; Bodø/Glimt (Visitante): 35.45%; Empate: 26.71%. Para Bodø/Glimt (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.82. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.79, con un valor esperado de -1.09%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -1.62%E -0.622%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.83%E -3.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.58%EV -2.37%E -0.920%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -3.93%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.64%EV -2.78%E -0.763%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.89%EV -2.37%E -0.920%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.52%EV -4.99%E -1.86%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.59%EV -7.85%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.89%EV -2.37%E -0.920%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.52%EV -4.99%E -1.86%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.59%EV -7.85%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.51%E -1.38%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.91%EV -8.54%E -3.31%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -1.17%E -0.318%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 17:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -3.51%E -1.38%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -6.06%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.64%EV -8.54%E -3.31%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -1.17%E -0.318%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.77%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -6.06%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.83%E -3.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.37%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.37%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.29%EV -6.16%E -2.48%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.03%EV -1.09%E -0.391%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.68%EV -8.39%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.06%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -9.60%E -3.76%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -7.83%E -3.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -10.52%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.12%E -2.72%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -9.60%E -3.76%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -13.19%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.44%EV -8.05%E -3.31%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -6.06%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.44%EV -8.05%E -3.31%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -6.06%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.44%EV -8.05%E -3.31%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -6.06%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.44%EV -8.05%E -3.31%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -6.06%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.44%EV -8.05%E -3.31%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -6.06%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.44%EV -8.05%E -3.31%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -6.06%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.44%EV -8.05%E -3.31%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -6.06%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.44%EV -8.05%E -3.31%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -6.06%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.44%EV -8.05%E -3.31%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -6.06%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.67%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%EV -1.45%E -0.520%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV -2.51%E -0.688%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 17:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -6.06%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -6.06%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -7.83%E -3.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -9.94%E -4.18%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -9.60%E -3.76%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.19%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.97%EV -11.08%E -4.71%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.83%E -3.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-04 17:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -11.08%E -4.71%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -7.83%E -3.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -7.85%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -11.08%E -4.71%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -7.83%E -3.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -7.85%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.97%E -5.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -11.37%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.57%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.18%EV -11.37%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -10.52%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.42% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.30% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.27% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.70% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.87% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.94% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |