Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

ŠK Slovan Bratislava v Mjällby AIF

2026-08-11 18:15 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

ŠK Slovan Bratislava (Local)

Prediction 51.85%1.93fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -2.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.08%51.91%51.95%52.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.791.801.8857.80%55.83%55.56%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mjällby AIF (Visit)

Prediction 23.02%4.34fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.345%
Kelly -0.450%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.30%23.02%22.99%23.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.003.974.2826.32%25.00%25.19%23.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.13%3.98fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -0.780%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.96%25.07%25.07%26.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.683.693.8629.41%27.19%27.10%25.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: ŠK Slovan Bratislava (Local): 51.85%; Mjällby AIF (Visit): 23.02%; Draw: 25.13%. For Mjällby AIF (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.34. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.28, with an expected value of -1.47%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.84%EV -2.51%E -1.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.77%EV -1.47%E -0.345%K -0.450%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.38%EV -3.51%E -0.915%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-05 19:30
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.08%EV -5.63%E -3.09%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.17%E -0.510%K -0.666%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.03%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 18:45
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.08%EV -5.63%E -3.09%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.17%E -0.510%K -0.666%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.03%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 18:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.83%EV -5.63%E -3.09%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -5.62%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 16:20
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -5.63%E -3.09%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 16:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.86%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.62%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.37%EV -7.54%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 19:25
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.22%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-05 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.22%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-05 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.22%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-05 16:25
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.08%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -11.37%E -2.95%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-05 18:45
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.92%EV -7.70%E -4.33%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -7.03%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 16:20
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.44%EV -7.70%E -4.33%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.22%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-05 16:20
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -8.22%E -4.64%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.03%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -8.74%E -4.96%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.48%EV -9.30%E -2.36%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 23.96%EV -3.01%E -0.780%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -8.74%E -4.96%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.48%EV -9.30%E -2.36%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 23.96%EV -3.01%E -0.780%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.22%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-05 16:20
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-05 16:20
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -10.29%E -5.95%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-05 15:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.