Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.93
assuming max odds 4.60
assuming max odds 3.85
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: ŠK Slovan Bratislava (Local): 50.66%; Mjällby AIF (Visit): 22.97%; Draw: 26.36%. For Mjällby AIF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.35. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.67%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.20%EV -7.79%E -4.28%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV +5.67%E +1.23%K +1.58%G +0.089% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.20%EV -7.79%E -4.28%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV +5.67%E +1.23%K +1.58%G +0.089% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.20%EV -7.79%E -4.28%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV +5.67%E +1.23%K +1.58%G +0.089% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 18:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.20%EV -7.79%E -4.28%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV +5.67%E +1.23%K +1.58%G +0.089% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.20%EV -9.31%E -5.20%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.40%EV +2.23%E +0.500%K +0.645%G +0.014% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -1.14%E -0.303%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.87%EV -9.82%E -5.52%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV +1.08%E +0.245%K +0.317%G +0.003% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.87%EV -9.82%E -5.52%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV +1.08%E +0.245%K +0.317%G +0.003% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.87%EV -9.82%E -5.52%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV +1.08%E +0.245%K +0.317%G +0.003% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-11 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.96%EV -5.26%E -2.81%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.81%EV +0.387%E +0.089%K +0.115%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.96%EV -5.26%E -2.81%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.81%EV +0.387%E +0.089%K +0.115%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 17:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.91%EV -5.26%E -2.81%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.89%EV -0.072%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 17:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.48%EV -10.83%E -6.15%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07%EV -1.22%E -0.284%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.45%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-11 18:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.48%EV -10.83%E -6.15%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07%EV -1.22%E -0.284%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.45%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.22%E -1.15%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.78%EV -1.68%E -0.393%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%EV -3.77%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-11 17:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -7.79%E -4.28%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -2.37%E -0.557%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.49%EV -11.34%E -6.48%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -2.37%E -0.557%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.58%EV -12.86%E -7.48%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -3.52%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.58%EV -12.86%E -7.48%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -3.52%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -5.26%E -2.81%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -6.27%E -3.39%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 17:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -7.28%E -3.98%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 17:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.98%EV -3.23%E -1.69%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.15%EV -3.77%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 18:08 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.27%E -3.39%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-11 17:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.28%E -3.98%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-11 17:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.27%E -3.39%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-11 18:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.27%E -3.39%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-11 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.27%E -3.39%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-11 18:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.31%EV -6.27%E -3.39%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.26%E -2.34%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +1.50%E +0.390%K +0.526%G +0.008% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 18:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.31%EV -6.27%E -3.39%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.26%E -2.34%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +1.50%E +0.390%K +0.526%G +0.008% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.79%E -4.28%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-11 18:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.28%E -3.98%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -11.34%E -6.48%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -4.75%E -2.53%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -12.71%E -3.34%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -1.14%E -0.303%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 17:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.80%E -4.89%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.71%E -3.34%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-11 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -8.80%E -4.89%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -12.71%E -3.34%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-11 17:52 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.79%EV -6.78%E -3.68%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -15.00%E -4.06%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-11 17:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -8.80%E -4.89%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -16.15%E -4.43%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -3.77%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-11 18:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.12% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.65% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.23% | 0.3% | 2026-08-11 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.12% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.65% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.23% | 0.3% | 2026-08-11 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.12% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.65% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.23% | 0.3% | 2026-08-11 18:10 |