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ŠK Slovan Bratislava v Mjällby AIF
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
ŠK Slovan Bratislava (Local)
Predicción 50.66%1.97momio equitativo
EV -2.22%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -2.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.43%50.81%50.63%53.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.721.821.821.9358.14%54.90%54.95%51.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Mjällby AIF (Visitante)
Predicción 22.97%4.35momio equitativo
EV +5.67%
Ventaja +1.23%
Kelly +1.58%
Crecimiento +0.089%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.65%22.89%22.84%24.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.654.154.104.6027.40%24.09%24.39%21.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.36%3.79momio equitativo
EV +1.50%
Ventaja +0.390%
Kelly +0.526%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.66%26.30%26.53%27.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.493.503.8530.77%28.63%28.57%25.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: ŠK Slovan Bratislava (Local): 50.66%; Mjällby AIF (Visitante): 22.97%; Empate: 26.36%. Para Mjällby AIF (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.35. 10 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.60, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.67%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.20%EV -7.79%E -4.28%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV +5.67%E +1.23%K +1.58%G +0.089% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.20%EV -7.79%E -4.28%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV +5.67%E +1.23%K +1.58%G +0.089% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.20%EV -7.79%E -4.28%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV +5.67%E +1.23%K +1.58%G +0.089% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 18:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.20%EV -7.79%E -4.28%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV +5.67%E +1.23%K +1.58%G +0.089% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.20%EV -9.31%E -5.20%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.40%EV +2.23%E +0.500%K +0.645%G +0.014% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -1.14%E -0.303%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.87%EV -9.82%E -5.52%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV +1.08%E +0.245%K +0.317%G +0.003% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.87%EV -9.82%E -5.52%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV +1.08%E +0.245%K +0.317%G +0.003% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.87%EV -9.82%E -5.52%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV +1.08%E +0.245%K +0.317%G +0.003% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-11 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.96%EV -5.26%E -2.81%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.81%EV +0.387%E +0.089%K +0.115%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.96%EV -5.26%E -2.81%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.81%EV +0.387%E +0.089%K +0.115%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 17:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.91%EV -5.26%E -2.81%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.89%EV -0.072%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 17:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.48%EV -10.83%E -6.15%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07%EV -1.22%E -0.284%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.45%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-11 18:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.48%EV -10.83%E -6.15%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07%EV -1.22%E -0.284%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.45%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.22%E -1.15%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.78%EV -1.68%E -0.393%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%EV -3.77%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-11 17:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -7.79%E -4.28%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -2.37%E -0.557%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.49%EV -11.34%E -6.48%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -2.37%E -0.557%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.58%EV -12.86%E -7.48%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -3.52%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.58%EV -12.86%E -7.48%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -3.52%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -5.26%E -2.81%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -6.27%E -3.39%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 17:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -7.28%E -3.98%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 17:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.98%EV -3.23%E -1.69%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.15%EV -3.77%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 18:08 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.27%E -3.39%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-11 17:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.28%E -3.98%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-11 17:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.27%E -3.39%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-11 18:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.27%E -3.39%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-11 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.27%E -3.39%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-11 18:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.31%EV -6.27%E -3.39%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.26%E -2.34%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +1.50%E +0.390%K +0.526%G +0.008% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 18:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.31%EV -6.27%E -3.39%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.26%E -2.34%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +1.50%E +0.390%K +0.526%G +0.008% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.79%E -4.28%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-11 18:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.28%E -3.98%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -11.34%E -6.48%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -4.75%E -2.53%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -12.71%E -3.34%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -1.14%E -0.303%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 17:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.80%E -4.89%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.71%E -3.34%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-11 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -8.80%E -4.89%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -12.71%E -3.34%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-11 17:52 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.79%EV -6.78%E -3.68%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -15.00%E -4.06%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-11 17:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -8.80%E -4.89%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -16.15%E -4.43%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -3.77%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-11 18:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.12% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.65% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.23% | 0.3% | 2026-08-11 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.12% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.65% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.23% | 0.3% | 2026-08-11 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.12% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.65% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.23% | 0.3% | 2026-08-11 18:10 |