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Sabah FK v AGF Aarhus
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sabah FK (Local)
Prediction 48.57%2.06fair odd
EV -3.83%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -3.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.53%48.58%48.50%49.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.901.921.9854.95%52.52%52.08%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
AGF Aarhus (Visit)
Prediction 25.57%3.91fair odd
EV -0.790%
Edge -0.204%
Kelly -0.274%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.22%25.51%25.67%26.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.563.553.8829.85%28.05%28.17%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.86%3.87fair odd
EV -0.448%
Edge -0.116%
Kelly -0.157%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.59%25.90%25.82%26.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.663.653.8529.41%27.29%27.40%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sabah FK (Local): 48.57%; AGF Aarhus (Visit): 25.57%; Draw: 25.86%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.85, with an expected value of -0.448%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.96%EV -3.83%E -1.93%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.98%EV -0.790%E -0.204%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.06%EV -3.81%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-11 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.12%EV -3.83%E -1.93%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.34%EV -3.86%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.54%EV -7.17%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.12%EV -3.83%E -1.93%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.34%EV -3.86%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.54%EV -7.17%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.28%E -2.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -5.39%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 15:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.28%E -2.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -6.67%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -5.62%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 15:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.28%E -2.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -3.03%E -0.809%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-11 15:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.98%EV -5.77%E -2.97%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.68%EV -5.39%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.03%E -0.809%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-11 15:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08%EV -6.25%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -7.95%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%EV -0.448%E -0.116%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-11 15:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08%EV -6.25%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -7.95%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%EV -0.448%E -0.116%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-11 15:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08%EV -6.25%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -7.95%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%EV -0.448%E -0.116%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-11 15:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08%EV -6.25%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -7.95%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%EV -0.448%E -0.116%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-11 15:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -6.25%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -13.06%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-11 15:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.23%E -3.78%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.95%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-11 15:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -8.68%E -4.62%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -3.03%E -0.809%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-11 15:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -8.68%E -4.62%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -3.03%E -0.809%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-11 15:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -8.68%E -4.62%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -3.03%E -0.809%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-11 15:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -9.17%E -4.90%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.08%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-11 15:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.48%EV -9.65%E -5.19%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -2.84%E -0.746%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-11 15:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.76%EV -10.14%E -5.48%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -13.06%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -5.62%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-11 15:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.76%EV -10.14%E -5.48%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -13.06%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -5.62%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-11 15:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.76%EV -10.14%E -5.48%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -13.06%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -5.62%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-11 15:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.14%E -5.48%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.08%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-11 15:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.64%EV -11.60%E -6.37%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -14.34%E -4.28%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-11 15:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.64%EV -11.60%E -6.37%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -14.34%E -4.28%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-11 15:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.47% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.60% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.93% | 0.2% | 2026-08-11 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-08-11 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 1.0% | 2026-08-11 15:55 |