The School of Odds
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Sabah FK v AGF Aarhus

2026-08-11 16:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sabah FK (Local)

Prediction 38.90%2.57fair odd
EV -6.63%
Edge -2.76%
Kelly -4.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.72%38.90%38.90%39.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.352.352.4043.48%42.55%42.55%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AGF Aarhus (Visit)

Prediction 33.91%2.95fair odd
EV -5.06%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -2.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.70%33.91%33.91%34.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.702.702.8038.17%37.04%37.04%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.19%3.68fair odd
EV -4.84%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.80%27.19%27.19%27.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.373.353.5030.30%29.66%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sabah FK (Local): 38.90%; AGF Aarhus (Visit): 33.91%; Draw: 27.19%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.50, with an expected value of -4.84%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -6.63%E -2.76%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.06%E -1.81%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 23:50
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.63%E -2.76%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.76%E -2.46%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 23:49
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -8.57%E -3.65%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -8.45%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-05 23:48
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -8.57%E -3.65%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -8.45%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-05 23:50
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -8.57%E -3.65%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -8.45%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-05 23:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -10.52%E -4.57%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -10.82%E -4.12%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-05 23:50
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -10.52%E -4.57%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -11.16%E -4.26%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-05 23:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.