預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Sabah FK v AGF Aarhus

開賽時間: 2026-08-11 16:00 UTC

最終賽果: Sabah FK 4–0 AGF Aarhus

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

24 家博彩公司 (5 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Sabah FK (主隊)

預測 48.57%2.06公平賠率
EV -3.83%
優勢 -1.93%
Kelly -3.90%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.98

博彩公司預測分布
47.53%48.58%48.50%49.48%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.821.901.921.9854.95%52.52%52.08%50.51%最小值平均值中位數最大值

AGF Aarhus (客隊)

預測 25.57%3.91公平賠率
EV -0.790%
優勢 -0.204%
Kelly -0.274%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.88

博彩公司預測分布
24.22%25.51%25.67%26.98%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.353.563.553.8829.85%28.05%28.17%25.77%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 25.86%3.87公平賠率
EV -0.448%
優勢 -0.116%
Kelly -0.157%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.85

博彩公司預測分布
24.59%25.90%25.82%26.54%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.403.663.653.8529.41%27.29%27.40%25.97%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Sabah FK (主隊):48.57%;AGF Aarhus (客隊):25.57%;和局:25.86%。 對於「和局」,該估計相當於3.87的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為3.85,期望值為-0.448%,未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (24 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.96%EV -3.83%E -1.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.98%EV -0.790%E -0.204%K -0.274%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.06%EV -3.81%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-11 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.12%EV -3.83%E -1.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.34%EV -3.86%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.54%EV -7.17%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.12%EV -3.83%E -1.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.34%EV -3.86%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.54%EV -7.17%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 15:50
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.28%E -2.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -5.39%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 15:54
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.28%E -2.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -6.67%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -5.62%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 15:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.28%E -2.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -3.03%E -0.809%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 15:55
Coolbet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.98%EV -5.77%E -2.97%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.68%EV -5.39%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.03%E -0.809%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 15:40
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08%EV -6.25%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -7.95%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%EV -0.448%E -0.116%K -0.157%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-11 15:45
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08%EV -6.25%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -7.95%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%EV -0.448%E -0.116%K -0.157%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-11 15:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08%EV -6.25%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -7.95%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%EV -0.448%E -0.116%K -0.157%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-11 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08%EV -6.25%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -7.95%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%EV -0.448%E -0.116%K -0.157%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-11 15:44
Bet Right🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -6.25%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -13.06%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-11 15:54
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.23%E -3.78%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.95%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-11 15:54
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -8.68%E -4.62%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -3.03%E -0.809%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-11 15:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -8.68%E -4.62%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -3.03%E -0.809%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-11 15:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -8.68%E -4.62%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -3.03%E -0.809%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-11 15:45
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -9.17%E -4.90%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.08%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-11 15:55
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.48%EV -9.65%E -5.19%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -2.84%E -0.746%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-11 15:44
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.76%EV -10.14%E -5.48%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -13.06%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -5.62%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-11 15:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.76%EV -10.14%E -5.48%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -13.06%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -5.62%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-11 15:45
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.76%EV -10.14%E -5.48%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -13.06%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -5.62%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-11 15:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.14%E -5.48%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.08%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-11 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.64%EV -11.60%E -6.37%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -14.34%E -4.28%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-11 15:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.64%EV -11.60%E -6.37%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -14.34%E -4.28%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-11 15:44
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.47%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.93%0.2%2026-08-11 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-08-11 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-08-11 15:55