The School of Odds

PFC Levski Sofia v Universitatea Craiova

2026-07-22 17:30 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

PFC Levski Sofia (Local)

Prediction 41.19%2.43fair odd
EV -4.84%
Edge -2.10%
Kelly -3.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.58%41.22%41.14%41.72%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.152.242.252.3147%45%44%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Universitatea Craiova (Visit)

Prediction 29.52%3.39fair odd
EV -5.53%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -2.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.95%29.49%29.53%30.29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.003.093.103.2033%32%32%31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 29.28%3.42fair odd
EV -4.83%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -2.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.68%29.29%29.33%29.88%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.003.153.183.2533%32%31%31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.58%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.95%EV -7.59%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.48%EV -6.88%E -2.16%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 13:49
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 11:30
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.83%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 11:25
Marathon Bet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.75%EV -5.66%E -2.47%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.91%EV -7.89%E -2.53%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.34%EV -6.88%E -2.16%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 13:44
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 11:25
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.22%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 11:30
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.22%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 11:30
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 11:25
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 11:25
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.22%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-17 11:30
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.22%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-17 11:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.22%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-17 11:45
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.43%E -5.32%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-17 13:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.