La scuola delle quote

PFC Levski Sofia v Universitatea Craiova

Inizio: 2026-07-22 17:30 UTC

Finale: PFC Levski Sofia 1–0 Universitatea Craiova

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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32 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

PFC Levski Sofia (Casa)

Previsione 41.00%2.44quota equa
EV -5.70%
Vantaggio -2.48%
Kelly -4.39%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.16%41.14%40.99%46.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.972.152.202.3050.76%46.43%45.56%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Universitatea Craiova (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.54%3.50quota equa
EV +5.60%
Vantaggio +1.51%
Kelly +2.07%
Crescita +0.116%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.93%28.41%28.59%29.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.413.333.7032.26%29.30%30.08%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.46%3.28quota equa
EV -2.52%
Vantaggio -0.787%
Kelly -1.15%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.86%30.45%30.43%31.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.093.153.2034.72%32.32%31.75%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (32 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -18.00%E -9.00%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV +5.60%E +1.51%K +2.07%G +0.116%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-22 17:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -18.00%E -9.00%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV +5.60%E +1.51%K +2.07%G +0.116%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-22 17:20
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -18.00%E -9.00%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV +5.60%E +1.51%K +2.07%G +0.116%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-22 17:20
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -18.00%E -9.00%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV +5.60%E +1.51%K +2.07%G +0.116%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-22 17:24
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -18.00%E -9.00%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV +5.60%E +1.51%K +2.07%G +0.116%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-22 17:25
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -18.00%E -9.00%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV +5.60%E +1.51%K +2.07%G +0.116%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-22 17:24
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -18.00%E -9.00%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV +5.60%E +1.51%K +2.07%G +0.116%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-22 17:24
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -18.00%E -9.00%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV +5.60%E +1.51%K +2.07%G +0.116%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-22 17:25
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -18.00%E -9.00%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV +5.60%E +1.51%K +2.07%G +0.116%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-22 17:24
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -18.00%E -9.00%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV +5.60%E +1.51%K +2.07%G +0.116%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-22 17:24
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.19%EV -19.23%E -9.76%K -19.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV +4.17%E +1.14%K +1.57%G +0.066%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -4.04%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-22 17:24
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.19%EV -19.23%E -9.76%K -19.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV +4.17%E +1.14%K +1.57%G +0.066%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -4.04%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-22 17:24
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.60%EV -10.21%E -4.66%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -1.82%E -0.530%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.29%EV -6.18%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 17:24
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.75%E -3.45%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.97%E -0.872%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 17:18
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.48%EV -6.11%E -2.67%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -4.39%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.04%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 17:23
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.80%E -4.46%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -4.39%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -10.14%E -3.44%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-22 17:20
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -5.70%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.82%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -4.04%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-22 17:09
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -7.75%E -3.45%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.82%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -10.14%E -3.44%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 17:24
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -11.85%E -5.51%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -5.82%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.27%E -4.26%K -6.53%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-22 17:19
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -5.70%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -4.04%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 17:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -11.85%E -5.51%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -12.27%E -4.26%K -6.53%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-22 17:20
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -5.70%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.96%EV -7.82%E -2.42%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.37%EV -6.18%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 17:10
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -5.70%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.96%EV -7.82%E -2.42%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.37%EV -6.18%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 17:09
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.70%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 17:09
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.70%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 17:24
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.75%E -3.45%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-22 17:24
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.75%E -3.45%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-22 17:24
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.75%E -3.45%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-22 17:24
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.70%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -10.10%E -3.21%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -4.04%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 17:09
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -7.75%E -3.45%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -10.10%E -3.21%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.66%E -4.02%K -6.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-22 17:24
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.75%E -3.45%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-22 17:09
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.85%E -5.51%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -11.66%E -4.02%K -6.14%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-22 17:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-07-22 17:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-07-22 17:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%1.0%2026-07-22 17:25