The School of Odds

Petrocub Hîncești v KF Egnatia

2026-07-08 17:00 — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Option 1: Petrocub Hîncești (Local)

Odds
1.8055.56%Min
1.8753.38%Mean
1.8753.48%Median
1.9551.28%Max
Consensus probabilities
47.22%2.118Min
51.19%1.953Max
48.42%2.065Mean
48.47%2.063Median
48.42%2.065IQM
48.34%2.069Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.95 under the IQM model: 48.42%

EV -5.57%Edge -2.86%Kelly -5.87%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: KF Egnatia (Visit)

Odds
3.6027.78%Min
3.8825.77%Mean
3.8525.94%Median
4.2523.53%Max
Consensus probabilities
22.03%4.539Min
25.15%3.976Max
24.14%4.143Mean
23.81%4.201Median
24.14%4.143IQM
24.21%4.131Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.25 under the IQM model: 24.14%

EV +2.59%Edge +0.610%Kelly +0.797%Growth +0.021%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.1032.26%Min
3.3230.16%Mean
3.3030.30%Median
3.5028.57%Max
Consensus probabilities
26.65%3.753Min
28.25%3.539Max
27.44%3.645Mean
27.72%3.607Median
27.44%3.645IQM
27.45%3.643Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.50 under the IQM model: 27.44%

EV -3.97%Edge -1.13%Kelly -1.59%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

BookmakerPetrocub Hîncești (Local)KF Egnatia (Visit) ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Neds1.87I 53.48% NM 50.24%EV -9.45% E -5.05% K -10.86% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.92%EV -1.03% E -0.251% K -0.332% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.84%EV -3.97% E -1.13% K -1.59% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 13:25
Bet Right1.83I 54.64% NM 50.19%EV -11.38% E -6.22% K -13.72% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.40%EV -1.03% E -0.251% K -0.332% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.41%EV -8.09% E -2.41% K -3.44% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-06 14:35
PlayUp1.80I 55.56% NM 50.18%EV -12.84% E -7.13% K -16.05% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.03%EV -1.03% E -0.251% K -0.332% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.79%EV -10.83% E -3.33% K -4.81% G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-06 13:55
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36% NM 48.49%EV -7.51% E -3.93% K -8.25% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 23.45%EV -4.65% E -1.18% K -1.58% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.06%EV -9.46% E -2.87% K -4.11% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-06 14:00
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36% NM 48.49%EV -7.51% E -3.93% K -8.25% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 23.45%EV -4.65% E -1.18% K -1.58% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.06%EV -9.46% E -2.87% K -4.11% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-06 14:05
1xBet1.93I 51.81% NM 48.53%EV -6.54% E -3.39% K -7.03% G +0.000%3.89I 25.71% NM 24.08%EV -6.10% E -1.57% K -2.11% G +0.000%3.42I 29.24% NM 27.39%EV -6.17% E -1.80% K -2.55% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 14:33
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64% NM 49.51%EV -11.38% E -6.22% K -13.72% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 23.84%EV -8.27% E -2.18% K -2.95% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.65%EV -6.71% E -1.97% K -2.80% G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-06 14:19
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64% NM 48.55%EV -11.38% E -6.22% K -13.72% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 23.69%EV -9.48% E -2.53% K -3.45% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 27.76%EV -12.20% E -3.81% K -5.55% G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-06 14:05
PMU (FR)1.81I 55.25% NM 48.39%EV -12.35% E -6.82% K -15.25% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 23.36%EV -9.48% E -2.53% K -3.45% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.25%EV -14.95% E -4.82% K -7.12% G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-06 14:00
FanDuel1.95I 51.28% NM 47.22%EV -5.57% E -2.86% K -5.87% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 24.88%EV -10.69% E -2.89% K -3.96% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.90%EV -9.46% E -2.87% K -4.11% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 14:39
SportsBet1.96I 51.02% NM 46.76%EV -5.09% E -2.60% K -5.30% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.46%EV -13.10% E -3.64% K -5.04% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.78%EV -9.46% E -2.87% K -4.11% G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-06 14:05
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36% NM 47.41%EV -7.51% E -3.93% K -8.25% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.15%EV -13.10% E -3.64% K -5.04% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.44%EV -9.46% E -2.87% K -4.11% G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-06 14:39
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46% NM 36.26%EV +25.90% E +9.96% K +16.19% G +4.19%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.28%EV -33.62% E -12.22% K -19.21% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.46%EV -12.20% E -3.81% K -5.55% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 12:30
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48% NM 37.90%EV +11.38% E +4.95% K +8.75% G +0.995%2.50I 40.00% NM 34.86%EV -39.65% E -15.86% K -26.43% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 27.24%EV -12.20% E -3.81% K -5.55% G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-06 12:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerPetrocub Hîncești (Local)KF Egnatia (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%3.95I 25.32%3.55I 28.17%1.6%2026-07-06 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%3.95I 25.32%3.55I 28.17%1.6%2026-07-06 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%3.95I 25.32%3.55I 28.17%2.5%2026-07-06 14:35