L’École des cotes

Petrocub Hîncești v KF Egnatia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-08 17:00 UTC

Score final : Petrocub Hîncești 1–1 KF Egnatia

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Petrocub Hîncești (Local)

Prévision 41.56%2.41cote équitable
EV -4.41%
Avantage -1.92%
Kelly -3.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.40%41.67%41.42%44.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.982.192.202.3050.51%45.57%45.45%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

KF Egnatia (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.44%3.64cote équitable
EV -1.78%
Avantage -0.498%
Kelly -0.691%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.81%27.26%27.50%28.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.333.303.5831.75%30.03%30.30%27.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.00%3.23cote équitable
EV -0.786%
Avantage -0.246%
Kelly -0.357%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.93%31.08%31.08%33.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.793.053.053.2035.84%32.81%32.79%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -4.41%E -1.92%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -5.44%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 16:55
BetUS2.29I 43.67%NM 41.06%EV -4.83%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.18%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.77%EV -8.23%E -2.78%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 16:54
LowVig.ag2.29I 43.67%NM 40.40%EV -4.83%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -3.98%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.16%EV -13.50%E -4.84%K -7.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-08 16:40
BetOnline.ag2.29I 43.67%NM 40.40%EV -4.83%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -3.98%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.16%EV -13.50%E -4.84%K -7.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-08 16:40
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -6.07%E -2.69%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.64%EV -1.78%E -0.498%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.16%EV -5.13%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 16:55
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.49%E -2.88%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -3.89%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 16:55
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.49%E -2.88%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.89%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-08 16:55
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.49%E -2.88%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -8.54%E -2.89%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-08 16:54
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.49%E -2.88%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.09%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-08 16:55
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.49%E -2.88%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.09%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-08 16:55
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.49%E -2.88%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.09%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-08 16:55
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.49%E -2.88%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.09%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-08 16:55
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.48%EV -7.74%E -3.48%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -10.84%E -3.33%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -5.44%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-08 16:55
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.48%EV -7.74%E -3.48%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -10.84%E -3.33%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -5.44%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-08 16:55
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.18%EV -8.15%E -3.69%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -3.98%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.18%EV -7.30%E -2.44%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-08 16:55
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.57%E -3.89%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.89%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 16:55
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -8.57%E -3.89%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -5.44%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-08 16:55
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.57%E -3.89%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -6.99%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-08 16:55
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -8.57%E -3.89%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -10.84%E -3.33%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.19%E -4.71%K -7.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-08 16:55
ATG (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.81%EV -9.81%E -4.52%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -0.786%E -0.246%K -0.357%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 16:45
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 42.81%EV -9.81%E -4.52%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -0.786%E -0.246%K -0.357%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 16:45
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.81%EV -9.81%E -4.52%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -0.786%E -0.246%K -0.357%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.81%EV -9.81%E -4.52%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -0.786%E -0.246%K -0.357%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 16:45
Casumo2.17I 46.08%NM 42.81%EV -9.81%E -4.52%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -0.786%E -0.246%K -0.357%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 16:45
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 42.81%EV -9.81%E -4.52%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -0.786%E -0.246%K -0.357%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 16:50
Grosvenor2.17I 46.08%NM 42.81%EV -9.81%E -4.52%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -0.786%E -0.246%K -0.357%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 16:45
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.81%EV -9.81%E -4.52%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -0.786%E -0.246%K -0.357%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 16:45
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.81%EV -9.81%E -4.52%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -0.786%E -0.246%K -0.357%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 16:45
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 42.81%EV -9.81%E -4.52%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -0.786%E -0.246%K -0.357%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 16:50
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -10.65%E -4.95%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -10.71%E -3.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-08 16:45
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -11.89%E -5.61%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.84%E -3.33%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -2.34%E -0.742%K -1.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-08 16:50
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -11.89%E -5.61%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.84%E -3.33%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -2.34%E -0.742%K -1.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-08 16:50
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -14.80%E -7.22%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -3.98%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -6.99%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-08 16:39
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.05%EV -14.80%E -7.22%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -13.58%E -4.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -5.44%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-08 16:45
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.25%EV -17.71%E -8.94%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -6.99%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-08 16:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.31%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.94%1.0%2026-07-08 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-07-08 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-07-08 16:55