The School of Odds

Omonoia FC v FC Kairat

2026-07-22 17:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Omonoia FC (Local)

Prediction 58.05%1.72fair odd
EV -4.21%
Edge -2.55%
Kelly -6.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.36%57.99%58.26%59.34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.491.581.601.6567%63%63%61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

FC Kairat (Visit)

Prediction 17.26%5.80fair odd
EV -4.23%
Edge -0.763%
Kelly -0.931%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.61%17.30%17.15%18.59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.855.225.225.5521%19%19%18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 24.69%4.05fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -0.948%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.80%24.70%24.59%25.45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.503.703.743.9029%27%27%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.91%EV -4.21%E -2.55%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -10.27%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.40%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 11:05
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.81%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.15%EV -5.79%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.04%EV -7.65%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 11:40
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.10%E -3.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 11:35
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.10%E -3.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 11:35
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.10%E -3.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 11:40
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.70%E -0.948%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 10:39
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -4.93%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 10:39
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.27%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.80%EV -4.23%E -0.763%K -0.931%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -7.65%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 11:35
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.36%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.59%EV -16.31%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -11.10%E -3.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 11:40
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 57.87%EV -8.28%E -5.24%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -8.64%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-17 10:39
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -8.86%E -5.64%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -8.55%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 11:35
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.86%E -5.64%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -13.57%E -3.88%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-17 10:34
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -10.02%E -6.46%K -18.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 10:35
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 59.34%EV -10.60%E -6.88%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-17 10:38
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -11.18%E -7.31%K -21.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -7.40%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-17 10:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -11.18%E -7.31%K -21.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -7.40%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-17 10:45
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 57.71%EV -13.50%E -9.06%K -27.56%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.73%EV -16.31%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.57%EV -13.57%E -3.88%K -5.43%G +0.000%16.3%2026-07-17 11:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.