A Escola das Odds

Omonoia FC v FC Kairat

Início: 2026-07-22 17:00 UTC

Final: Omonoia FC 1–0 FC Kairat

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

37 casas de apostas (9 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Omonoia FC (Local)

Previsão 59.57%1.68odd justa
EV -3.50%
Vantagem -2.16%
Kelly -5.64%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.00%59.62%59.73%60.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.501.571.581.6266.67%63.50%63.29%61.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Kairat (Visitante)

Previsão 15.99%6.25odd justa
EV -0.065%
Vantagem -0.010%
Kelly -0.012%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.84%15.91%16.07%17.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.905.535.506.2520.41%18.08%18.18%16.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.44%4.09odd justa
EV -2.24%
Vantagem -0.561%
Kelly -0.747%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.57%24.48%24.20%25.20%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.503.743.704.0028.57%26.75%27.03%25.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 57.16%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -16.85%E -3.24%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -9.57%E -2.59%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 16:44
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.16%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -16.85%E -3.24%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -9.57%E -2.59%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 16:44
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.16%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -16.85%E -3.24%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -9.57%E -2.59%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 16:44
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 57.16%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -16.85%E -3.24%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -9.57%E -2.59%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.16%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -16.85%E -3.24%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -9.57%E -2.59%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 16:44
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.16%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -16.85%E -3.24%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -9.57%E -2.59%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 16:45
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 57.16%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -16.85%E -3.24%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -9.57%E -2.59%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 16:44
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.16%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -16.85%E -3.24%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -9.57%E -2.59%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 16:44
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.16%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -16.85%E -3.24%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -9.57%E -2.59%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 16:44
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 57.16%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -16.85%E -3.24%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -9.57%E -2.59%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 16:44
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 59.59%EV -4.69%E -2.93%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -8.06%E -1.40%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -2.24%E -0.561%K -0.747%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 16:42
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.07%EV -4.69%E -2.93%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.91%EV -18.45%E -3.62%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -10.80%E -2.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 16:45
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.07%EV -4.69%E -2.93%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.91%EV -18.45%E -3.62%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -10.80%E -2.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 16:44
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.93%EV -5.88%E -3.72%K -10.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -0.065%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -7.13%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 16:45
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.41%EV -5.88%E -3.72%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.21%EV -7.42%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.91%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 16:45
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -5.88%E -3.72%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -5.66%E -0.960%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -9.57%E -2.59%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 16:44
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -5.88%E -3.72%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -5.66%E -0.960%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -9.57%E -2.59%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 16:44
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -5.88%E -3.72%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.20%EV -8.06%E -1.40%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.35%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 16:44
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.38%EV -5.88%E -3.72%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.44%EV -16.85%E -3.24%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-22 16:24
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -8.06%E -1.40%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -2.24%E -0.561%K -0.747%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 16:45
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.76%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -7.26%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.69%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-22 16:34
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -12.06%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.57%E -2.59%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 16:45
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -12.06%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.57%E -2.59%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 16:45
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -12.06%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.57%E -2.59%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 16:44
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -12.06%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -10.80%E -2.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-22 16:44
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.43%EV -7.07%E -4.53%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -4.06%E -0.677%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -3.46%E -0.877%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 16:45
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -7.07%E -4.53%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -7.26%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.16%EV -5.66%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 16:44
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.36%EV -7.67%E -4.95%K -13.94%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -10.46%E -1.87%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -7.13%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 16:34
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -7.67%E -4.95%K -13.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -12.06%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-22 16:44
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.00%EV -8.26%E -5.36%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.92%EV -21.65%E -4.42%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -14.46%E -4.13%K -5.78%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-22 16:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.86%E -5.79%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -12.06%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.35%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 16:34
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -8.86%E -5.79%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -12.06%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-22 16:44
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.48%EV -9.45%E -6.22%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -4.06%E -0.677%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.13%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-22 16:45
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 60.94%EV -10.05%E -6.65%K -19.70%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.84%EV -0.864%E -0.139%K -0.166%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.13%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 16:44
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 60.94%EV -10.05%E -6.65%K -19.70%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.84%EV -0.864%E -0.139%K -0.166%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.13%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 16:45
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 60.94%EV -10.05%E -6.65%K -19.70%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.84%EV -0.864%E -0.139%K -0.166%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.13%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 16:44
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 58.64%EV -10.64%E -7.10%K -21.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -20.05%E -4.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -9.57%E -2.59%K -3.55%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-22 16:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.63%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-07-22 16:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.63%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-07-22 16:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.77%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.11%1.2%2026-07-22 16:45