Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Olympiakos Piraeus v NEC Nijmegen

2026-08-04 18:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Olympiakos Piraeus (Local)

Prediction 59.08%1.69fair odd
EV -4.88%
Edge -3.03%
Kelly -8.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.21%59.05%59.08%60.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.581.591.6166.67%63.41%62.89%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

NEC Nijmegen (Visit)

Prediction 16.44%6.08fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -0.225%
Kelly -0.270%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.30%16.51%16.44%18.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.445.506.0020.00%18.39%18.18%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.48%4.09fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.522%
Kelly -0.697%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.85%24.44%24.48%26.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.793.804.0028.57%26.35%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -9.57%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-30 13:25
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -9.57%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-30 13:24
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -9.57%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-30 13:25
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -9.57%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-30 13:25
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -9.57%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-30 13:24
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -9.57%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-30 13:24
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -9.57%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-30 13:24
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 58.95%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV -11.22%E -2.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -2.09%E -0.522%K -0.697%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -11.22%E -2.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-30 13:24
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -11.22%E -2.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-30 13:25
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -6.65%E -4.21%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -4.64%E -0.800%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -8.45%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-30 16:54
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -11.22%E -2.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -8.21%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-30 13:24
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -1.35%E -0.225%K -0.270%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -14.33%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-30 19:49
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.28%EV -7.83%E -5.02%K -13.99%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -12.86%E -2.43%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-30 13:25
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.28%EV -7.83%E -5.02%K -13.99%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -12.86%E -2.43%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-30 13:25
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -8.42%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.22%EV -13.68%E -2.61%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.43%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-30 14:34
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -8.42%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -17.79%E -3.56%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-30 13:25
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -10.20%E -6.71%K -19.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -9.57%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -2.09%E -0.522%K -0.697%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-30 13:25
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 60.53%EV -10.79%E -7.14%K -21.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.57%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -2.09%E -0.522%K -0.697%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-30 13:25
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -11.38%E -7.59%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -17.79%E -3.56%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-30 13:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.