默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Olympiakos Piraeus v NEC Nijmegen

开赛时间: 2026-08-04 18:00 UTC

最终结果: Olympiakos Piraeus 0–0 NEC Nijmegen

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

29 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Olympiakos Piraeus (主队)

预测 60.02%1.67公平赔率
EV -3.97%
优势 -2.48%
Kelly -6.62%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.60

博彩公司预测分布
57.82%60.06%59.81%62.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.471.551.551.6068.03%64.69%64.52%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

NEC Nijmegen (客队)

预测 17.58%5.69公平赔率
EV +5.45%
优势 +0.908%
Kelly +1.09%
增长率 +0.059%

假设最高赔率为 6.00

博彩公司预测分布
15.91%17.56%17.63%18.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.805.475.576.0020.83%18.28%17.95%16.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 22.41%4.46公平赔率
EV -1.40%
优势 -0.319%
Kelly -0.413%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.40

博彩公司预测分布
21.37%22.38%22.56%23.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.854.074.104.4025.97%24.56%24.39%22.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Olympiakos Piraeus (主队):60.02%;NEC Nijmegen (客队):17.58%;平局:22.41%。 对于“NEC Nijmegen (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.69。 当时有11家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为6.00,对应+5.45%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.81%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV +5.45%E +0.908%K +1.09%G +0.059%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -8.13%E -1.98%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.81%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV +5.45%E +0.908%K +1.09%G +0.059%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -8.13%E -1.98%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 17:55
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.63%EV -6.37%E -4.09%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV +1.94%E +0.334%K +0.403%G +0.008%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -8.13%E -1.98%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 17:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.63%EV -6.37%E -4.09%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV +1.94%E +0.334%K +0.403%G +0.008%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -8.13%E -1.98%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.63%EV -6.37%E -4.09%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV +1.94%E +0.334%K +0.403%G +0.008%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -8.13%E -1.98%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 17:55
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV +1.94%E +0.334%K +0.403%G +0.008%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 17:55
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV +1.94%E +0.334%K +0.403%G +0.008%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV +1.94%E +0.334%K +0.403%G +0.008%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 17:55
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV +1.94%E +0.334%K +0.403%G +0.008%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 17:55
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.79%EV -9.37%E -6.21%K -18.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV +1.06%E +0.184%K +0.222%G +0.002%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -11.49%E -2.91%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-04 17:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.51%EV -11.78%E -8.01%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.12%EV +0.178%E +0.031%K +0.038%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -3.65%E -0.848%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-04 17:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.52%EV -9.97%E -6.65%K -19.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -1.58%E -0.282%K -0.343%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -12.61%E -3.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-04 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.52%EV -9.97%E -6.65%K -19.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -1.58%E -0.282%K -0.343%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -12.61%E -3.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-04 17:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68%EV -3.97%E -2.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.57I 17.95%NM 17.14%EV -2.11%E -0.378%K -0.461%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.18%EV -7.68%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68%EV -3.97%E -2.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.57I 17.95%NM 17.14%EV -2.11%E -0.378%K -0.461%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.18%EV -7.68%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 17:54
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.73%EV -4.57%E -2.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.11%EV -2.46%E -0.443%K -0.540%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -8.13%E -1.98%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 17:54
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -3.34%E -0.607%K -0.742%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -3.65%E -0.848%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 17:55
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.94%EV -3.97%E -2.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.76%EV -5.09%E -0.943%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.30%EV -3.65%E -0.848%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 17:54
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -9.37%E -6.21%K -18.38%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -5.09%E -0.943%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -5.89%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -6.85%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -9.25%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 17:55
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -4.57%E -2.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -7.73%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.89%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 17:55
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.70%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -7.73%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -1.40%E -0.319%K -0.413%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -12.12%E -2.42%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -12.61%E -3.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-04 17:55
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -9.97%E -6.65%K -19.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.12%E -2.42%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -5.89%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-04 17:45
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.12%E -2.42%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -13.73%E -3.57%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-04 17:50
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.97%E -6.65%K -19.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.12%E -2.42%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-04 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.19%EV -11.78%E -8.01%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -12.12%E -2.42%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -10.37%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-04 17:55
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -15.64%E -3.26%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -12.61%E -3.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-04 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -15.64%E -3.26%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -12.61%E -3.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-04 17:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.79%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%0.5%2026-08-04 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.79%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%0.5%2026-08-04 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.79%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%0.5%2026-08-04 17:55