The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Mjällby AIF v ŠK Slovan Bratislava

Kickoff: 2026-08-04 16:00 UTC

Final: Mjällby AIF 1–2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mjällby AIF (Local)

Prediction 43.43%2.30fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -2.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.67%43.48%43.53%45.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.102.2250.00%47.44%47.62%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

ŠK Slovan Bratislava (Visit)

Prediction 26.80%3.73fair odd
EV +1.85%
Edge +0.488%
Kelly +0.662%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.67%26.71%26.73%27.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.493.503.8030.77%28.64%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.76%3.36fair odd
EV -0.300%
Edge -0.089%
Kelly -0.128%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.78%29.81%29.74%30.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.193.203.3533.33%31.33%31.25%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mjällby AIF (Local): 43.43%; ŠK Slovan Bratislava (Visit): 26.80%; Draw: 29.76%. For ŠK Slovan Bratislava (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.85%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.23%EV -8.79%E -4.18%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV +1.85%E +0.488%K +0.662%G +0.012%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.78%EV -5.06%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 15:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -10.09%E -4.87%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.67%EV +1.32%E +0.349%K +0.474%G +0.006%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -8.34%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 15:55
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%EV -7.92%E -3.73%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -0.826%E -0.223%K -0.306%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.29%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.95%EV -1.63%E -0.444%K -0.610%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.29%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.95%EV -1.63%E -0.444%K -0.610%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 15:55
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -3.51%E -0.974%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.25%E -1.98%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 15:55
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.34%EV -4.44%E -2.02%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 15:54
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -5.31%E -2.44%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 15:50
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -0.300%E -0.089%K -0.128%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 15:50
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -0.300%E -0.089%K -0.128%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 15:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -0.300%E -0.089%K -0.128%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 15:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -0.300%E -0.089%K -0.128%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 15:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -0.300%E -0.089%K -0.128%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 15:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -0.300%E -0.089%K -0.128%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 15:50
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -0.300%E -0.089%K -0.128%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 15:49
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.44%E -2.02%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.62%EV -11.39%E -5.58%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -0.300%E -0.089%K -0.128%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 15:50
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.62%EV -11.39%E -5.58%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -0.300%E -0.089%K -0.128%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 15:49
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -12.26%E -6.07%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -1.79%E -0.542%K -0.777%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.79%E -4.18%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 15:55
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-04 15:55
BetUS🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.31%E -2.44%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.91%EV -6.45%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.01%EV -6.85%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 15:55
Coolbet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.98%EV -3.57%E -1.61%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -3.28%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 15:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -13.13%E -6.57%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -3.28%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-04 15:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -13.13%E -6.57%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -3.28%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-04 15:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -1.79%E -0.542%K -0.777%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 15:55
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 15:30
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.21%E -3.05%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 15:45
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -8.79%E -4.18%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.21%E -3.05%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.25%E -1.98%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-04 15:55
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -4.44%E -2.02%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-04 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -4.44%E -2.02%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-04 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -4.44%E -2.02%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-04 15:55
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.79%E -4.18%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-04 15:30
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.79%E -4.18%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-04 15:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.79%E -4.18%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-04 15:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32%0.3%2026-08-04 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32%0.3%2026-08-04 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-08-04 15:55

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