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Mjällby AIF v ŠK Slovan Bratislava
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Mjällby AIF (Local)
Predicción 43.43%2.30momio equitativo
EV -3.57%
Ventaja -1.61%
Kelly -2.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.67%43.48%43.53%45.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.112.102.2250.00%47.44%47.62%45.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
ŠK Slovan Bratislava (Visitante)
Predicción 26.80%3.73momio equitativo
EV +1.85%
Ventaja +0.488%
Kelly +0.662%
Crecimiento +0.012%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.67%26.71%26.73%27.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.493.503.8030.77%28.64%28.57%26.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 29.76%3.36momio equitativo
EV -0.300%
Ventaja -0.089%
Kelly -0.128%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.78%29.81%29.74%30.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.193.203.3533.33%31.33%31.25%29.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Mjällby AIF (Local): 43.43%; ŠK Slovan Bratislava (Visitante): 26.80%; Empate: 29.76%. Para ŠK Slovan Bratislava (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.73. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.80, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.85%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (35 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.23%EV -8.79%E -4.18%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV +1.85%E +0.488%K +0.662%G +0.012% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.78%EV -5.06%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -10.09%E -4.87%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.67%EV +1.32%E +0.349%K +0.474%G +0.006% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -8.34%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%EV -7.92%E -3.73%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -0.826%E -0.223%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.29%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.95%EV -1.63%E -0.444%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.29%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.95%EV -1.63%E -0.444%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -3.51%E -0.974%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.25%E -1.98%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.34%EV -4.44%E -2.02%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 15:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -5.31%E -2.44%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -0.300%E -0.089%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -0.300%E -0.089%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -0.300%E -0.089%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 15:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -0.300%E -0.089%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -0.300%E -0.089%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 15:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -0.300%E -0.089%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -0.300%E -0.089%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 15:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.44%E -2.02%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.62%EV -11.39%E -5.58%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -0.300%E -0.089%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.62%EV -11.39%E -5.58%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -0.300%E -0.089%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 15:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -12.26%E -6.07%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -1.79%E -0.542%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.79%E -4.18%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.31%E -2.44%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 26.91%EV -6.45%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.01%EV -6.85%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.98%EV -3.57%E -1.61%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -3.28%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 15:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -13.13%E -6.57%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -3.28%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -13.13%E -6.57%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -3.28%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -1.79%E -0.542%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 15:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.21%E -3.05%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-04 15:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -8.79%E -4.18%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.21%E -3.05%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.25%E -1.98%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -4.44%E -2.02%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -4.44%E -2.02%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -4.44%E -2.02%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.79%E -4.18%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-04 15:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.79%E -4.18%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-04 15:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.79%E -4.18%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-04 15:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32% | 0.3% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32% | 0.3% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |