The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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LASK v Celtic

Kickoff: 2026-08-25 19:00 UTC

Final: LASK 5–1 Celtic

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

LASK (Local)

Prediction 50.63%1.97fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -2.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.35%50.59%50.69%52.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.851.851.9357.80%54.09%54.05%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Celtic (Visit)

Prediction 26.27%3.81fair odd
EV +0.337%
Edge +0.088%
Kelly +0.120%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.13%26.34%26.20%29.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.513.503.8231.25%28.46%28.57%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.10%4.33fair odd
EV +1.64%
Edge +0.372%
Kelly +0.481%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.32%23.07%23.11%24.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.024.004.4026.67%24.90%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LASK (Local): 50.63%; Celtic (Visit): 26.27%; Draw: 23.10%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.33. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.64%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -3.79%E -2.00%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -15.95%E -4.98%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV +1.64%E +0.372%K +0.481%G +0.008%6.6%2026-08-25 18:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -5.31%E -2.84%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -13.32%E -4.04%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -0.673%E -0.157%K -0.204%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 18:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -7.85%E -4.31%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -1.83%E -0.430%K -0.563%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 18:49
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.71%EV -6.33%E -3.42%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -1.50%E -0.400%K -0.546%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 18:53
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -8.86%E -4.92%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -1.50%E -0.400%K -0.546%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 18:49
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.34%E -4.01%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 18:44
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.90%EV -6.33%E -3.42%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.13%EV +0.337%E +0.088%K +0.120%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.97%EV -3.45%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-25 18:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.73%EV -3.29%E -1.72%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.63%EV -0.713%E -0.189%K -0.257%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-25 18:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.14%EV -2.78%E -1.45%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.38%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.48%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 18:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.14%EV -2.78%E -1.45%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.38%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.48%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 18:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.63%EV -4.81%E -2.56%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.15%EV -4.39%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 18:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.63%EV -4.81%E -2.56%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.15%EV -4.39%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 18:44
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.80%EV -5.31%E -2.84%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 18:54
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -8.86%E -4.92%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-25 18:44
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -6.33%E -3.42%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -13.32%E -4.04%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-25 18:49
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.58%EV -7.85%E -4.31%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -9.38%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.73%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-25 18:49
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.58%EV -7.85%E -4.31%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -9.38%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.73%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-25 18:54
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.49%EV -2.78%E -1.45%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.52%EV -6.68%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-25 18:55
Coolbet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.35%EV -2.28%E -1.18%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -6.75%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 18:49
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.69%EV -5.31%E -2.84%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -2.81%E -0.761%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-25 18:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -5.31%E -2.84%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.75%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 18:49
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -5.31%E -2.84%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.75%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 18:49
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -5.31%E -2.84%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.75%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 18:49
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.32%EV -8.86%E -4.92%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.01%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-25 18:49
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -11.39%E -6.51%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.69%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-25 18:45
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -12.40%E -7.17%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.69%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-25 18:49
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -6.33%E -3.42%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-25 18:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -6.33%E -3.42%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-25 18:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -6.33%E -3.42%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-25 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -7.34%E -4.01%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.69%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-25 18:49
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -7.34%E -4.01%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.69%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-25 18:49
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -7.85%E -4.31%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.69%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-25 18:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.59%EV -8.35%E -4.61%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -12.01%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-25 18:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.59%EV -8.35%E -4.61%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -12.01%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-25 18:49
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -6.33%E -3.42%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-25 18:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -6.33%E -3.42%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-25 18:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -6.33%E -3.42%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-25 18:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.29%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.20%0.1%2026-08-25 18:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.32%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%0.4%2026-08-25 18:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%0.6%2026-08-25 18:55