默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

LASK v Celtic

开赛时间: 2026-08-25 19:00 UTC

最终结果: LASK 5–1 Celtic

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

37 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

LASK (主队)

预测 50.63%1.97公平赔率
EV -2.28%
优势 -1.18%
Kelly -2.45%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.93

博彩公司预测分布
49.35%50.59%50.69%52.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.731.851.851.9357.80%54.09%54.05%51.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

Celtic (客队)

预测 26.27%3.81公平赔率
EV +0.337%
优势 +0.088%
Kelly +0.120%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.82

博彩公司预测分布
25.13%26.34%26.20%29.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.513.503.8231.25%28.46%28.57%26.18%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.10%4.33公平赔率
EV +1.64%
优势 +0.372%
Kelly +0.481%
增长率 +0.008%

假设最高赔率为 4.40

博彩公司预测分布
21.32%23.07%23.11%24.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.754.024.004.4026.67%24.90%25.00%22.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:LASK (主队):50.63%;Celtic (客队):26.27%;平局:23.10%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.33。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.40,对应+1.64%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -3.79%E -2.00%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -15.95%E -4.98%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV +1.64%E +0.372%K +0.481%G +0.008%6.6%2026-08-25 18:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -5.31%E -2.84%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -13.32%E -4.04%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -0.673%E -0.157%K -0.204%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 18:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -7.85%E -4.31%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -1.83%E -0.430%K -0.563%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 18:49
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.71%EV -6.33%E -3.42%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -1.50%E -0.400%K -0.546%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 18:53
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -8.86%E -4.92%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -1.50%E -0.400%K -0.546%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 18:49
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.34%E -4.01%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -2.98%E -0.710%K -0.932%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 18:44
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.90%EV -6.33%E -3.42%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.13%EV +0.337%E +0.088%K +0.120%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.97%EV -3.45%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-25 18:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.73%EV -3.29%E -1.72%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.63%EV -0.713%E -0.189%K -0.257%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-25 18:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.14%EV -2.78%E -1.45%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.38%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.48%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 18:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.14%EV -2.78%E -1.45%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.38%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.48%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 18:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.63%EV -4.81%E -2.56%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.15%EV -4.39%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 18:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.63%EV -4.81%E -2.56%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.15%EV -4.39%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 18:44
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.80%EV -5.31%E -2.84%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 18:54
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -8.86%E -4.92%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-25 18:44
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -6.33%E -3.42%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -13.32%E -4.04%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-25 18:49
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.58%EV -7.85%E -4.31%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -9.38%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.73%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-25 18:49
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.58%EV -7.85%E -4.31%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -9.38%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.73%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-25 18:54
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.49%EV -2.78%E -1.45%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.52%EV -6.68%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-25 18:55
Coolbet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.35%EV -2.28%E -1.18%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -6.75%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 18:49
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.69%EV -5.31%E -2.84%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -2.81%E -0.761%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-25 18:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -5.31%E -2.84%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.75%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 18:49
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -5.31%E -2.84%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.75%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 18:49
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -5.31%E -2.84%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.75%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 18:49
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.32%EV -8.86%E -4.92%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.01%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-25 18:49
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -11.39%E -6.51%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.69%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-25 18:45
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -12.40%E -7.17%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.69%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-25 18:49
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -6.33%E -3.42%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-25 18:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -6.33%E -3.42%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-25 18:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -6.33%E -3.42%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-25 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -7.34%E -4.01%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.69%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-25 18:49
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -7.34%E -4.01%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.69%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-25 18:49
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -7.85%E -4.31%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.69%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-25 18:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.59%EV -8.35%E -4.61%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -12.01%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-25 18:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.59%EV -8.35%E -4.61%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -12.01%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-25 18:49
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -6.33%E -3.42%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-25 18:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -6.33%E -3.42%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-25 18:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -6.33%E -3.42%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-25 18:49
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.29%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.20%0.1%2026-08-25 18:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.32%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%0.4%2026-08-25 18:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%0.6%2026-08-25 18:55