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KuPS Kuopio v Sabah FK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
KuPS Kuopio (Local)
Prediction 32.76%3.05fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -0.913%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.39%32.76%32.79%35.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.732.752.9740.00%36.57%36.36%33.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sabah FK (Visit)
Prediction 40.32%2.48fair odd
EV +0.798%
Edge +0.319%
Kelly +0.532%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.93%40.15%40.22%41.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.402.402.5045.45%41.72%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.92%3.71fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -0.854%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.58%27.08%26.99%28.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.363.303.6031.75%29.78%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KuPS Kuopio (Local): 32.76%; Sabah FK (Visit): 40.32%; Draw: 26.92%. For Sabah FK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.48. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.798%.
Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -13.85%E -5.27%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV +0.798%E +0.319%K +0.532%G +0.004% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 14:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -13.85%E -5.27%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV +0.798%E +0.319%K +0.532%G +0.004% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 14:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -13.85%E -5.27%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV +0.798%E +0.319%K +0.532%G +0.004% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 14:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -13.85%E -5.27%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV +0.798%E +0.319%K +0.532%G +0.004% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 14:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -13.85%E -5.27%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV +0.798%E +0.319%K +0.532%G +0.004% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 14:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -13.85%E -5.27%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV +0.798%E +0.319%K +0.532%G +0.004% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 14:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -13.85%E -5.27%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV +0.798%E +0.319%K +0.532%G +0.004% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 14:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -13.85%E -5.27%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV +0.798%E +0.319%K +0.532%G +0.004% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 14:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -13.85%E -5.27%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV +0.798%E +0.319%K +0.532%G +0.004% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 14:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -13.85%E -5.27%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV +0.798%E +0.319%K +0.532%G +0.004% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 14:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -9.92%E -3.61%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -1.22%E -0.497%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -14.83%E -5.70%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -1.22%E -0.497%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-28 14:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -14.83%E -5.70%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -1.22%E -0.497%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-28 14:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -5.66%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.23%E -1.35%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.67%EV -3.07%E -0.854%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -3.23%E -1.35%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.17%EV -5.99%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00%EV -4.04%E -1.70%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -4.42%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.17%EV -5.99%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00%EV -4.04%E -1.70%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -4.42%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -18.11%E -7.24%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.93%EV -4.04%E -1.70%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.91%EV -15.19%E -4.82%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-28 14:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.00%E -1.73%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -5.25%E -2.23%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 14:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.39%EV -2.71%E -0.913%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -6.46%E -2.78%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -11.69%E -3.56%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 14:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -7.27%E -3.16%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-28 14:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -9.92%E -3.61%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -7.27%E -3.16%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-28 14:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.00%E -1.73%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -9.28%E -4.13%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -9.28%E -4.13%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.28%E -4.13%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-28 14:03 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -11.30%E -5.14%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -11.30%E -5.14%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.18% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.22% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.60% | 0.2% | 2026-07-28 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.18% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.22% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.60% | 0.2% | 2026-07-28 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.18% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.22% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.60% | 0.2% | 2026-07-28 14:45 |
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