The School of Odds

KuPS Kuopio v Sabah FK

2026-07-28 15:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

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Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

KuPS Kuopio (Local)

Prediction 35.95%2.78fair odd
EV -3.64%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.69%35.82%35.95%36.99%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.452.602.632.6841%39%38%37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sabah FK (Visit)

Prediction 36.31%2.75fair odd
EV -5.61%
Edge -2.16%
Kelly -3.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.54%36.45%36.31%37.29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.382.502.502.6042%40%40%38%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.74%3.60fair odd
EV -5.68%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -2.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.27%27.73%27.74%28.10%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.153.303.303.4032%30%30%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -3.64%E -1.36%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -9.24%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -7.35%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-24 12:34
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -4.72%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -9.24%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.46%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -4.72%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -9.24%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.46%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 08:30
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -4.72%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -9.24%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.46%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 08:29
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -4.72%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -9.24%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.46%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 08:30
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -4.72%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -9.24%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.46%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 08:30
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -4.72%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -9.24%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.46%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 08:29
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -4.72%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -9.24%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.46%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 08:30
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -4.72%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -9.24%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.46%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 08:28
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -4.72%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -9.24%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.46%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 08:30
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -4.72%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -9.24%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.46%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 08:29
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.69%EV -5.44%E -2.07%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -11.05%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -9.84%E -3.03%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-24 08:30
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.69%EV -5.44%E -2.07%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -11.05%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -9.84%E -3.03%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-24 08:30
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.52%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 12:30
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.52%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 12:29
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.46%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 11:40
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.46%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 12:30
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.71%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.19%EV -13.59%E -5.71%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -12.62%E -4.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-24 08:30
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.07%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 12:00
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -8.46%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 11:57
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.74%EV -12.87%E -5.36%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.99%EV -12.62%E -4.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-24 13:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -11.91%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.46%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-24 12:00
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -11.91%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.24%E -3.69%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.46%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 11:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.75%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%6.6%2026-07-24 11:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.75%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%6.6%2026-07-24 11:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.75%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%6.6%2026-07-24 11:40