L’École des cotes

KuPS Kuopio v Sabah FK

2026-07-28 15:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Résultat du match

27 opérateurs (6 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

KuPS Kuopio (Local)

Prévision 30.66%3.26cote équitable
EV -3.12%
Avantage -0.987%
Kelly -1.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.21%30.64%30.59%31.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.923.073.103.1634.25%32.59%32.26%31.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sabah FK (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.98%2.38cote équitable
EV -5.54%
Avantage -2.46%
Kelly -4.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.11%42.01%42.06%43.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.042.172.152.2549.02%46.13%46.51%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.36%3.66cote équitable
EV -4.25%
Avantage -1.21%
Kelly -1.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.00%27.35%27.34%28.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.333.303.5031.75%30.07%30.30%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (27 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Marathon Bet3.16I 31.65%NM 29.54%EV -3.12%E -0.987%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.01%EV -8.89%E -4.10%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 16:05
Bovada3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.42%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 16:12
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -9.73%E -4.53%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -9.73%E -4.53%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 15:56
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -9.73%E -4.53%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 15:55
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -9.73%E -4.53%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 15:55
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -9.73%E -4.53%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 15:55
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -9.73%E -4.53%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 15:55
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -9.73%E -4.53%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 15:55
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -9.73%E -4.53%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 15:55
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -9.73%E -4.53%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 15:54
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -9.73%E -4.53%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 15:55
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -10.99%E -5.19%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 15:55
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -10.99%E -5.19%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 15:55
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 16:01
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 12:58
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 16:00
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 15:50
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -8.47%E -3.89%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 16:00
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.73%E -4.53%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 16:01
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.73%E -4.53%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 16:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.73%E -4.53%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 16:00
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 42.96%EV -14.35%E -7.04%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.82%EV -13.83%E -4.39%K -6.43%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-25 15:55
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -9.56%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -7.63%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.35%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 16:00
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.93%EV -9.56%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.04%EV -11.83%E -5.63%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -13.83%E -4.39%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-25 15:55
BetOnline.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 31.68%EV -10.48%E -3.59%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 13:00
LowVig.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 31.68%EV -10.48%E -3.59%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.99%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 13:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.53%2.3%2026-07-26 05:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.53%2.3%2026-07-26 05:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.50%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.08%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.42%2.7%2026-07-26 05:25