The School of Odds

Klaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag v FK Kauno Žalgiris

2026-07-21 18:45 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Klaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag (Local)

Prediction 39.87%2.51fair odd
EV -4.31%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -3.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.05%39.87%39.66%40.93%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.202.322.302.4045%43%43%42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

FK Kauno Žalgiris (Visit)

Prediction 30.75%3.25fair odd
EV -4.68%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.05%30.75%30.92%34.61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.502.942.953.1040%34%34%32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 29.38%3.40fair odd
EV -5.40%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -2.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.98%29.38%29.42%30.02%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.953.073.083.2234%33%33%31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-17 19:39
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 20:00
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.05%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.61%EV -23.13%E -9.25%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.33%EV -13.33%E -4.52%K -6.84%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-17 20:04
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -9.29%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -10.39%E -3.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 19:40
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -8.30%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -9.29%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-17 19:39
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -8.30%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -9.29%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-17 19:38
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.30%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -11.86%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-17 19:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.30%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -11.86%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-17 19:54
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.92%EV -9.09%E -3.99%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.98%EV -5.40%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 20:04
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -12.28%E -5.58%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.86%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-17 20:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.