The School of Odds
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Klaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag v FK Kauno Žalgiris

Kickoff: 2026-07-21 18:45 UTC

Final: Klaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag 0–0 FK Kauno Žalgiris

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Klaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag (Local)

Prediction 37.11%2.69fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.764%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.39%37.15%37.12%39.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.432.402.6444.84%41.14%41.67%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FK Kauno Žalgiris (Visit)

Prediction 33.54%2.98fair odd
EV +2.31%
Edge +0.757%
Kelly +1.13%
Growth +0.026%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.26%33.58%33.55%35.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.852.803.0538.02%35.08%35.71%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.34%3.41fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -0.509%
Kelly -0.725%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.34%29.28%29.33%30.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.113.103.3534.48%32.17%32.26%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Klaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag (Local): 37.11%; FK Kauno Žalgiris (Visit): 33.54%; Draw: 29.34%. For FK Kauno Žalgiris (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.98. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.31%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -12.78%E -5.44%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV +2.31%E +0.757%K +1.13%G +0.026%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -10.51%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 18:35
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -12.78%E -5.44%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV +2.31%E +0.757%K +1.13%G +0.026%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -10.51%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -12.78%E -5.44%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV +2.31%E +0.757%K +1.13%G +0.026%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -10.51%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -12.78%E -5.44%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV +2.31%E +0.757%K +1.13%G +0.026%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -10.51%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 18:35
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -12.78%E -5.44%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV +2.31%E +0.757%K +1.13%G +0.026%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -10.51%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 18:35
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -12.78%E -5.44%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV +2.31%E +0.757%K +1.13%G +0.026%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -10.51%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 18:35
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -12.78%E -5.44%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV +2.31%E +0.757%K +1.13%G +0.026%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -10.51%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -12.78%E -5.44%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV +2.31%E +0.757%K +1.13%G +0.026%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -10.51%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -12.78%E -5.44%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV +2.31%E +0.757%K +1.13%G +0.026%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -10.51%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 18:35
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -12.78%E -5.44%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV +2.31%E +0.757%K +1.13%G +0.026%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -10.51%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -14.64%E -6.36%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV +0.631%E +0.210%K +0.315%G +0.002%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.97%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -14.64%E -6.36%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV +0.631%E +0.210%K +0.315%G +0.002%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.97%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 18:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.40%EV -17.23%E -7.73%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.30%EV -2.72%E -0.939%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.30%EV -14.91%E -5.14%K -7.85%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-21 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -4.64%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-21 18:35
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 18:35
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 18:30
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-21 18:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -9.07%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 18:40
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -16.49%E -7.33%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -11.97%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-21 18:25
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -6.47%E -2.57%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -6.75%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 18:35
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -6.47%E -2.57%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -6.75%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 18:35
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -9.07%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.57%E -2.40%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-21 18:35
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -9.07%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.03%EV -6.47%E -2.57%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.18%EV -8.43%E -3.09%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -4.93%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 18:40
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -3.50%E -1.35%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -1.70%E -0.509%K -0.725%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 18:40
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -3.50%E -1.35%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -1.70%E -0.509%K -0.725%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 18:35
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.50%E -1.35%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.64%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-21 18:40
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.93%E -4.55%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.97%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-21 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.39%EV -2.02%E -0.764%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.86%EV -10.10%E -3.77%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -7.87%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.39%EV -2.02%E -0.764%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.86%EV -10.10%E -3.77%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -7.87%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 18:35
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -9.07%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -11.11%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 18:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -12.78%E -5.44%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -11.11%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-21 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.87%EV -10.93%E -4.55%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.64%EV -11.78%E -4.48%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -11.97%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-21 18:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.21%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.46%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33%0.3%2026-07-21 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.21%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.46%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33%0.3%2026-07-21 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.05%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-07-21 18:35