L’École des cotes

Klaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag v FK Kauno Žalgiris

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-21 18:45 UTC

Score final : Klaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag 0–0 FK Kauno Žalgiris

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

33 opérateurs (8 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Klaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag (Local)

Prévision 37.11%2.69cote équitable
EV -2.02%
Avantage -0.764%
Kelly -1.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.39%37.15%37.12%39.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.232.432.402.6444.84%41.14%41.67%37.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FK Kauno Žalgiris (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.54%2.98cote équitable
EV +2.31%
Avantage +0.757%
Kelly +1.13%
Croissance +0.026%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.26%33.58%33.55%35.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.852.803.0538.02%35.08%35.71%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.34%3.41cote équitable
EV -1.70%
Avantage -0.509%
Kelly -0.725%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.34%29.28%29.33%30.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.113.103.3534.48%32.17%32.26%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (33 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -12.78%E -5.44%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV +2.31%E +0.757%K +1.13%G +0.026%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -10.51%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 18:35
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -12.78%E -5.44%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV +2.31%E +0.757%K +1.13%G +0.026%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -10.51%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -12.78%E -5.44%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV +2.31%E +0.757%K +1.13%G +0.026%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -10.51%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 18:35
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -12.78%E -5.44%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV +2.31%E +0.757%K +1.13%G +0.026%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -10.51%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 18:35
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -12.78%E -5.44%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV +2.31%E +0.757%K +1.13%G +0.026%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -10.51%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 18:35
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -12.78%E -5.44%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV +2.31%E +0.757%K +1.13%G +0.026%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -10.51%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 18:35
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -12.78%E -5.44%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV +2.31%E +0.757%K +1.13%G +0.026%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -10.51%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 18:35
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -12.78%E -5.44%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV +2.31%E +0.757%K +1.13%G +0.026%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -10.51%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 18:35
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -12.78%E -5.44%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV +2.31%E +0.757%K +1.13%G +0.026%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -10.51%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 18:35
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -12.78%E -5.44%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV +2.31%E +0.757%K +1.13%G +0.026%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -10.51%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 18:35
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -14.64%E -6.36%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV +0.631%E +0.210%K +0.315%G +0.002%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.97%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 18:35
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -14.64%E -6.36%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV +0.631%E +0.210%K +0.315%G +0.002%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.97%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 18:35
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 39.40%EV -17.23%E -7.73%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.30%EV -2.72%E -0.939%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.30%EV -14.91%E -5.14%K -7.85%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-21 18:35
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -4.64%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-21 18:35
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 18:35
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 18:30
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-21 18:30
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -9.07%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 18:40
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -16.49%E -7.33%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -11.97%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-21 18:25
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -6.47%E -2.57%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -6.75%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 18:35
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -6.47%E -2.57%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -6.75%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 18:35
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -9.07%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.57%E -2.40%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-21 18:35
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -9.07%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 18:30
Marathon Bet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.03%EV -6.47%E -2.57%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.18%EV -8.43%E -3.09%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -4.93%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 18:40
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -3.50%E -1.35%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -1.70%E -0.509%K -0.725%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 18:40
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -3.50%E -1.35%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -1.70%E -0.509%K -0.725%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 18:35
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.50%E -1.35%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.64%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-21 18:40
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.93%E -4.55%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.97%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-21 18:30
BetOnline.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 35.39%EV -2.02%E -0.764%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.86%EV -10.10%E -3.77%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -7.87%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 18:35
LowVig.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 35.39%EV -2.02%E -0.764%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.86%EV -10.10%E -3.77%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -7.87%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 18:35
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -9.07%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -11.11%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 18:40
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -12.78%E -5.44%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -11.11%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-21 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.87%EV -10.93%E -4.55%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.64%EV -11.78%E -4.48%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -11.97%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-21 18:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.21%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.46%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33%0.3%2026-07-21 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.21%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.46%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33%0.3%2026-07-21 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.05%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-07-21 18:35