The School of Odds

KF Egnatia v Petrocub Hîncești

2026-07-15 19:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

KF Egnatia (Local)

Prediction 50.61%1.98fair odd
EV -4.85%
Edge -2.58%
Kelly -5.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.77%50.66%50.73%51.86%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.681.811.821.8860%55%55%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Petrocub Hîncești (Visit)

Prediction 21.30%4.69fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -0.677%
Kelly -0.868%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.52%21.36%21.33%22.54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.904.304.314.5526%23%23%22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 28.09%3.56fair odd
EV -4.51%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -1.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.52%27.97%27.93%29.09%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.103.273.273.4032%31%31%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.32%EV -4.85%E -2.58%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -4.15%E -0.922%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -7.32%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 10:54
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.28%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 10:54
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -6.28%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 11:30
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 49.80%EV -6.87%E -3.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -9.47%E -2.23%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.13%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-10 10:49
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -7.88%E -4.33%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 20.74%EV -3.72%E -0.823%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.74%EV -5.07%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 12:34
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -7.88%E -4.33%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -9.47%E -2.23%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -5.91%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 11:29
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -7.88%E -4.33%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -9.47%E -2.23%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -5.91%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 11:30
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -7.88%E -4.33%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.41%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.32%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 12:00
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -7.88%E -4.33%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.41%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.32%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 12:05
SportsBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -7.88%E -4.33%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -6.28%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.13%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-10 10:54
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.86%EV -8.90%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.52%EV -3.08%E -0.677%K -0.868%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -5.07%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 12:14
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -8.90%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.28%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -10.13%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-10 10:53
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 50.18%EV -8.90%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.67%E -3.09%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-10 13:04
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.09%EV -8.90%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -7.77%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-10 10:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.09%EV -8.90%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -7.77%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-10 11:15
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.90%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -10.54%E -2.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-10 10:50
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.94%EV -10.41%E -5.88%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -14.80%E -3.70%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-10 12:14
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 51.34%EV -14.97%E -8.91%K -22.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.12%EV -16.93%E -4.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.54%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.88%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-10 11:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-10 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-10 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-10 11:25