Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

KF Egnatia v Petrocub Hîncești

Kickoff: 2026-07-15 19:00 UTC

Final: KF Egnatia 6–1 Petrocub Hîncești

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KF Egnatia (Local)

Prediction 54.46%1.84fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -3.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.44%54.59%54.40%57.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.721.731.7863.69%58.18%57.80%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Petrocub Hîncești (Visit)

Prediction 18.67%5.35fair odd
EV +0.843%
Edge +0.156%
Kelly +0.192%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 5.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.31%18.61%18.80%20.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.824.755.4022.73%20.75%21.05%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.87%3.72fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -0.911%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.09%26.81%26.80%28.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.383.353.6031.25%29.59%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.98%EV -9.05%E -5.42%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +0.843%E +0.156%K +0.192%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-15 18:13
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.51%EV -9.60%E -5.78%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%EV -1.02%E -0.193%K -0.238%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.65%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-15 18:13
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.51%E -5.06%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -1.96%E -0.373%K -0.461%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-15 18:04
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.54%EV -14.50%E -9.24%K -25.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -2.89%E -0.556%K -0.688%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -3.28%E -0.911%K -1.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-15 18:13
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.13%EV -7.42%E -4.36%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.09%EV -3.27%E -0.630%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-15 18:03
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.84%EV -4.70%E -2.68%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -6.63%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-15 18:13
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -6.88%E -4.02%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -6.63%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -3.28%E -0.911%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-15 18:13
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -11.78%E -7.27%K -18.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -6.63%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-15 18:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -11.78%E -7.27%K -18.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -6.63%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-15 18:13
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.46%EV -7.42%E -4.36%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -7.56%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-15 18:13
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.46%EV -7.42%E -4.36%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -7.56%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-15 18:13
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 54.15%EV -6.88%E -4.02%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.01%EV -9.05%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-15 18:13
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 54.15%EV -6.88%E -4.02%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.01%EV -9.05%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-15 18:13
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 54.11%EV -6.88%E -4.02%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.08%EV -9.43%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-15 18:13
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 52.83%EV -5.79%E -3.34%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -10.36%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-15 18:05
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.10%EV -3.06%E -1.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.30%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-15 18:13
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -3.06%E -1.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -11.30%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -8.65%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-15 14:44
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -4.70%E -2.68%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -11.30%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-15 17:10
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -4.70%E -2.68%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -11.30%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-15 17:09
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-15 14:44
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-15 14:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-15 14:45
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-15 14:44
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-15 14:44
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-15 14:44
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-15 14:44
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-15 14:43
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-15 14:44
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-15 14:44
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 54.22%EV -11.23%E -6.89%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.00%EV -13.16%E -2.83%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-15 18:01
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 52.62%EV -5.79%E -3.34%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -14.10%E -3.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-15 14:44
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 52.62%EV -5.79%E -3.34%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -14.10%E -3.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-15 14:44
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -7.42%E -4.36%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -14.10%E -3.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-15 18:04
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -5.24%E -3.01%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -15.96%E -3.55%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -8.65%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-15 18:13
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.05%EV -9.05%E -5.42%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.69%EV -15.96%E -3.55%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-15 14:44
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.44%EV -8.51%E -5.06%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.02%EV -17.83%E -4.05%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.03%E -4.38%K -6.38%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-15 14:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.41%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-07-15 18:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.41%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-07-15 18:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.19%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-07-15 18:13