L’École des cotes

KF Egnatia v Petrocub Hîncești

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-15 19:00 UTC

Score final : KF Egnatia 6–1 Petrocub Hîncești

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

KF Egnatia (Local)

Prévision 54.46%1.84cote équitable
EV -3.06%
Avantage -1.72%
Kelly -3.93%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.44%54.59%54.40%57.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.721.731.7863.69%58.18%57.80%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Petrocub Hîncești (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.67%5.35cote équitable
EV +0.843%
Avantage +0.156%
Kelly +0.192%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 5.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.31%18.61%18.80%20.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.404.824.755.4022.73%20.75%21.05%18.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.87%3.72cote équitable
EV -3.28%
Avantage -0.911%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.09%26.81%26.80%28.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.383.353.6031.25%29.59%29.85%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.98%EV -9.05%E -5.42%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +0.843%E +0.156%K +0.192%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-15 18:13
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.51%EV -9.60%E -5.78%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%EV -1.02%E -0.193%K -0.238%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.65%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-15 18:13
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.51%E -5.06%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -1.96%E -0.373%K -0.461%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-15 18:04
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.54%EV -14.50%E -9.24%K -25.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -2.89%E -0.556%K -0.688%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -3.28%E -0.911%K -1.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-15 18:13
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.13%EV -7.42%E -4.36%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.09%EV -3.27%E -0.630%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-15 18:03
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.84%EV -4.70%E -2.68%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -6.63%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-15 18:13
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -6.88%E -4.02%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -6.63%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -3.28%E -0.911%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-15 18:13
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -11.78%E -7.27%K -18.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -6.63%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-15 18:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -11.78%E -7.27%K -18.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -6.63%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-15 18:13
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.46%EV -7.42%E -4.36%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -7.56%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-15 18:13
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.46%EV -7.42%E -4.36%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -7.56%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-15 18:13
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 54.15%EV -6.88%E -4.02%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.01%EV -9.05%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-15 18:13
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 54.15%EV -6.88%E -4.02%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.01%EV -9.05%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-15 18:13
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 54.11%EV -6.88%E -4.02%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.08%EV -9.43%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-15 18:13
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 52.83%EV -5.79%E -3.34%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -10.36%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-15 18:05
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.10%EV -3.06%E -1.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.30%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-15 18:13
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -3.06%E -1.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -11.30%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -8.65%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-15 14:44
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -4.70%E -2.68%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -11.30%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-15 17:10
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -4.70%E -2.68%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -11.30%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-15 17:09
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-15 14:44
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-15 14:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-15 14:45
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-15 14:44
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-15 14:44
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-15 14:44
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-15 14:44
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-15 14:43
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-15 14:44
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -3.61%E -2.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-15 14:44
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 54.22%EV -11.23%E -6.89%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.00%EV -13.16%E -2.83%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-15 18:01
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 52.62%EV -5.79%E -3.34%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -14.10%E -3.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-15 14:44
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 52.62%EV -5.79%E -3.34%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -14.10%E -3.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-15 14:44
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -7.42%E -4.36%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -14.10%E -3.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-15 18:04
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -5.24%E -3.01%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -15.96%E -3.55%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -8.65%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-15 18:13
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.05%EV -9.05%E -5.42%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.69%EV -15.96%E -3.55%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-15 14:44
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.44%EV -8.51%E -5.06%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.02%EV -17.83%E -4.05%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.03%E -4.38%K -6.38%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-15 14:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.41%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-07-15 18:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.41%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-07-15 18:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.19%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-07-15 18:13