Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FK Kauno Žalgiris v Klaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag

Kickoff: 2026-07-29 16:00 UTC

Final: FK Kauno Žalgiris 1–0 Klaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FK Kauno Žalgiris (Local)

Prediction 50.13%1.99fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -2.23%
Kelly -4.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.29%50.15%50.19%53.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.791.781.9160.98%55.74%56.18%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Klaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag (Visit)

Prediction 21.98%4.55fair odd
EV +4.40%
Edge +0.927%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.052%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.35%21.93%22.01%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.424.404.7525.64%22.60%22.73%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.89%3.59fair odd
EV -3.78%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.00%27.92%27.80%29.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.333.353.4532.26%29.99%29.85%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FK Kauno Žalgiris (Local): 50.13%; Klaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag (Visit): 21.98%; Draw: 27.89%. For Klaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.55. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.40%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -13.27%E -7.67%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV +4.40%E +0.927%K +1.17%G +0.052%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -5.17%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 15:10
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -13.27%E -7.67%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV +4.40%E +0.927%K +1.17%G +0.052%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -5.17%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 15:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -13.27%E -7.67%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV +4.40%E +0.927%K +1.17%G +0.052%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -5.17%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 15:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -13.27%E -7.67%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV +4.40%E +0.927%K +1.17%G +0.052%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -5.17%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -13.27%E -7.67%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV +4.40%E +0.927%K +1.17%G +0.052%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -5.17%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 15:10
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -13.27%E -7.67%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV +4.40%E +0.927%K +1.17%G +0.052%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -5.17%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 15:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -13.27%E -7.67%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV +4.40%E +0.927%K +1.17%G +0.052%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -5.17%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 15:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -13.27%E -7.67%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV +4.40%E +0.927%K +1.17%G +0.052%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -5.17%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 15:10
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -13.27%E -7.67%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV +4.40%E +0.927%K +1.17%G +0.052%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -5.17%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 15:10
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -13.27%E -7.67%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV +4.40%E +0.927%K +1.17%G +0.052%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -5.17%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 15:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -14.78%E -8.69%K -21.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV +3.30%E +0.703%K +0.893%G +0.030%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -6.57%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-29 15:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -14.78%E -8.69%K -21.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV +3.30%E +0.703%K +0.893%G +0.030%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -6.57%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-29 15:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.79%EV -8.76%E -4.81%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV +1.11%E +0.240%K +0.307%G +0.003%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.17%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 15:40
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -8.76%E -4.81%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -1.09%E -0.243%K -0.312%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -5.17%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-29 15:40
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -8.26%E -4.51%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -1.09%E -0.243%K -0.312%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.96%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-29 15:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.50%EV -17.79%E -10.85%K -27.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -1.09%E -0.243%K -0.312%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -9.36%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-29 15:10
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.02%EV -9.26%E -5.12%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -3.29%E -0.748%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.96%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -8.26%E -4.51%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.29%E -0.748%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.75%E -3.36%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-29 15:55
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.44%EV -10.77%E -6.05%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -3.29%E -0.748%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -7.96%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-29 15:40
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.64%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%EV -5.49%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -6.57%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 15:54
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.22%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -6.59%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -9.36%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 15:35
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -6.59%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.36%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-29 15:45
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -6.59%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.36%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-29 15:45
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -12.27%E -7.01%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -7.69%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.75%E -3.36%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-29 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -12.27%E -7.01%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -7.69%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.75%E -3.36%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-29 15:50
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -9.88%E -2.41%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -3.78%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-29 15:50
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -9.88%E -2.41%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -3.78%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-29 15:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -9.88%E -2.41%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -3.78%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-29 15:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -9.88%E -2.41%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -3.78%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-29 15:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -10.98%E -2.71%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -6.85%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-29 15:55
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -6.26%E -3.35%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -13.54%E -4.37%K -6.45%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-29 15:55
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.39%EV -12.27%E -7.01%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -10.75%E -3.36%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-29 15:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.21%EV -8.26%E -4.51%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -14.28%E -3.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.36%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-29 15:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.68%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.80%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.52%0.2%2026-07-29 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.77%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.09%0.3%2026-07-29 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.77%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.09%0.3%2026-07-29 15:55

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