La escuela de los momios

FK Kauno Žalgiris v Klaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag

2026-07-29 16:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Resultado del partido

33 corredores (8 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FK Kauno Žalgiris (Local)

Predicción 54.20%1.85momio equitativo
EV -4.61%
Ventaja -2.62%
Kelly -6.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.94%54.18%54.17%55.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.611.711.721.7662.11%58.65%58.14%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Klaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag (Visitante)

Predicción 19.77%5.06momio equitativo
EV -1.15%
Ventaja -0.231%
Kelly -0.288%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.62%19.89%19.78%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.614.605.0023.81%21.71%21.74%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.03%3.84momio equitativo
EV -3.69%
Ventaja -0.996%
Kelly -1.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.11%25.93%26.05%26.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.553.553.7029.85%28.19%28.17%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (33 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.61%E -2.62%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -7.08%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -3.69%E -0.996%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 06:12
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -6.23%E -3.60%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 05:25
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -6.23%E -3.60%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-24 18:25
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 53.67%EV -6.23%E -3.60%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 04:50
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.67%EV -6.23%E -3.60%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 04:50
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.67%EV -6.23%E -3.60%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 04:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.67%EV -6.23%E -3.60%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 04:50
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.67%EV -6.23%E -3.60%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 04:50
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 53.67%EV -6.23%E -3.60%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 04:50
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.67%EV -6.23%E -3.60%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 04:50
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 53.67%EV -6.23%E -3.60%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 04:55
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 53.67%EV -6.23%E -3.60%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 04:55
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.78%E -3.94%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -7.08%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.69%E -0.996%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 05:25
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -6.78%E -3.94%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -7.08%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 20:34
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -6.78%E -3.94%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -7.08%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 20:33
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -6.78%E -3.94%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.00%EV -8.47%E -1.83%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.16%EV -7.85%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 15:10
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -6.78%E -3.94%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.00%EV -8.47%E -1.83%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.16%EV -7.85%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 15:15
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 53.81%EV -6.78%E -3.94%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 04:50
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.53%EV -7.32%E -4.28%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -5.11%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.05%EV -6.81%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 20:35
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -7.32%E -4.28%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 09:50
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -7.32%E -4.28%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 05:25
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -7.86%E -4.62%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -1.15%E -0.231%K -0.288%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 13:00
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -7.86%E -4.62%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 04:50
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -7.86%E -4.62%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 04:50
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -7.86%E -4.62%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -13.02%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-24 20:35
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -9.49%E -5.68%K -14.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -7.08%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 18:35
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -9.49%E -5.68%K -14.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -7.08%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 20:35
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -9.49%E -5.68%K -14.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -7.08%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 18:35
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.94%EV -9.49%E -5.68%K -14.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-24 10:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.03%EV -10.57%E -6.41%K -16.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-24 18:35
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -10.57%E -6.41%K -16.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-24 18:34
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.57%EV -11.11%E -6.78%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.20%EV -14.00%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -12.80%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-25 04:50
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.93%EV -12.74%E -7.91%K -20.88%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.44%EV -10.05%E -2.21%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-24 20:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.69%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%6.3%2026-07-25 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.69%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%6.3%2026-07-25 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.69%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%6.3%2026-07-25 14:40