La scuola delle quote

FK Kauno Žalgiris v FC Drita

Inizio: 2026-07-07 16:00 UTC

Finale: FK Kauno Žalgiris 1–1 FC Drita

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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30 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

FK Kauno Žalgiris (Casa)

Previsione 52.48%1.91quota equa
EV -1.87%
Vantaggio -0.999%
Kelly -2.15%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.87

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.81%52.50%52.73%54.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.651.801.821.8760.61%55.55%54.95%53.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Drita (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.97%5.27quota equa
EV +11.90%
Vantaggio +2.02%
Kelly +2.43%
Crescita +0.289%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.94%18.90%18.66%23.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.454.205.9026.67%22.49%23.81%16.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.56%3.50quota equa
EV -0.049%
Vantaggio -0.014%
Kelly -0.020%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.57%28.59%28.61%30.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.083.353.383.5032.47%29.84%29.63%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 53.73%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.94%EV +11.90%E +2.02%K +2.43%G +0.289%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -11.47%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 15:50
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.73%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.94%EV +11.90%E +2.02%K +2.43%G +0.289%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -11.47%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 15:50
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.73%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.94%EV +11.90%E +2.02%K +2.43%G +0.289%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -11.47%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 15:50
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.80%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -1.38%E -0.265%K -0.328%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -12.04%E -3.91%K -5.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 15:55
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.20%EV -9.21%E -5.33%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -3.28%E -0.642%K -0.799%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-07 15:50
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 52.21%EV -4.49%E -2.47%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.00%EV -5.17%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -5.76%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 15:49
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -5.17%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-07 15:50
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -13.41%E -8.13%K -20.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -5.17%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -5.76%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-07 15:50
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -10.79%E -6.35%K -15.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -5.17%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -11.47%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-07 15:49
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.27%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -12.76%E -2.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -1.48%E -0.428%K -0.603%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-07 15:30
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.49%E -2.47%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -16.55%E -3.76%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 15:40
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.69%EV -12.36%E -7.40%K -18.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.23%EV -17.50%E -4.02%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-07 15:54
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -4.49%E -2.47%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -19.40%E -4.56%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -4.33%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-07 15:55
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -4.49%E -2.47%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -19.40%E -4.56%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -4.33%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-07 15:49
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 51.92%EV -8.69%E -4.99%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -20.35%E -4.84%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -2.90%E -0.854%K -1.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 15:40
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 51.87%EV -10.79%E -6.35%K -15.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.00%EV -20.35%E -4.84%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-07 15:49
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -7.12%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -22.24%E -5.42%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -4.33%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 15:54
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -1.87%E -0.999%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -25.09%E -6.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 15:05
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -1.87%E -0.999%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -25.09%E -6.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 15:05
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -1.87%E -0.999%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -25.09%E -6.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 15:04
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -1.87%E -0.999%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -25.09%E -6.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 15:04
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -1.87%E -0.999%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -25.09%E -6.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -1.87%E -0.999%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -25.09%E -6.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 15:05
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -1.87%E -0.999%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -25.09%E -6.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 15:05
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -1.87%E -0.999%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -25.09%E -6.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 15:04
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -1.87%E -0.999%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -25.09%E -6.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 15:04
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -1.87%E -0.999%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -25.09%E -6.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 15:03
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -3.97%E -2.17%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -26.03%E -6.68%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -2.90%E -0.854%K -1.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-07 15:05
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -3.97%E -2.17%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -26.03%E -6.68%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -2.90%E -0.854%K -1.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-07 15:04
PMU (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.93%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -28.88%E -7.70%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -5.76%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-06 20:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.71%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-07-07 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.71%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-07-07 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.71%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-07-07 15:55