L’École des cotes

FK Kauno Žalgiris v FC Drita

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-07 16:00 UTC

Score final : FK Kauno Žalgiris 1–1 FC Drita

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

30 opérateurs (6 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FK Kauno Žalgiris (Local)

Prévision 52.48%1.91cote équitable
EV -1.87%
Avantage -0.999%
Kelly -2.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.81%52.50%52.73%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.801.821.8760.61%55.55%54.95%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Drita (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.97%5.27cote équitable
EV +11.90%
Avantage +2.02%
Kelly +2.43%
Croissance +0.289%

avec la cote maximale 5.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.94%18.90%18.66%23.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.454.205.9026.67%22.49%23.81%16.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.56%3.50cote équitable
EV -0.049%
Avantage -0.014%
Kelly -0.020%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.57%28.59%28.61%30.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.083.353.383.5032.47%29.84%29.63%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 53.73%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.94%EV +11.90%E +2.02%K +2.43%G +0.289%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -11.47%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 15:50
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.73%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.94%EV +11.90%E +2.02%K +2.43%G +0.289%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -11.47%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 15:50
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.73%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.94%EV +11.90%E +2.02%K +2.43%G +0.289%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -11.47%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 15:50
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.80%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -1.38%E -0.265%K -0.328%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -12.04%E -3.91%K -5.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 15:55
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.20%EV -9.21%E -5.33%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -3.28%E -0.642%K -0.799%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-07 15:50
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 52.21%EV -4.49%E -2.47%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.00%EV -5.17%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -5.76%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 15:49
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -5.17%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-07 15:50
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -13.41%E -8.13%K -20.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -5.17%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -5.76%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-07 15:50
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -10.79%E -6.35%K -15.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -5.17%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -11.47%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-07 15:49
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.27%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -12.76%E -2.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -1.48%E -0.428%K -0.603%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-07 15:30
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.49%E -2.47%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -16.55%E -3.76%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 15:40
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.69%EV -12.36%E -7.40%K -18.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.23%EV -17.50%E -4.02%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-07 15:54
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -4.49%E -2.47%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -19.40%E -4.56%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -4.33%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-07 15:55
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -4.49%E -2.47%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -19.40%E -4.56%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -4.33%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-07 15:49
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 51.92%EV -8.69%E -4.99%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -20.35%E -4.84%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -2.90%E -0.854%K -1.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 15:40
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 51.87%EV -10.79%E -6.35%K -15.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.00%EV -20.35%E -4.84%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-07 15:49
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -7.12%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -22.24%E -5.42%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -4.33%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 15:54
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -1.87%E -0.999%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -25.09%E -6.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 15:05
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -1.87%E -0.999%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -25.09%E -6.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 15:05
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -1.87%E -0.999%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -25.09%E -6.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 15:04
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -1.87%E -0.999%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -25.09%E -6.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 15:04
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -1.87%E -0.999%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -25.09%E -6.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -1.87%E -0.999%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -25.09%E -6.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 15:05
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -1.87%E -0.999%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -25.09%E -6.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 15:05
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -1.87%E -0.999%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -25.09%E -6.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 15:04
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -1.87%E -0.999%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -25.09%E -6.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 15:04
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -1.87%E -0.999%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -25.09%E -6.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 15:03
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -3.97%E -2.17%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -26.03%E -6.68%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -2.90%E -0.854%K -1.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-07 15:05
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -3.97%E -2.17%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -26.03%E -6.68%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -2.90%E -0.854%K -1.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-07 15:04
PMU (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.93%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -28.88%E -7.70%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -5.76%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-06 20:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.71%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-07-07 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.71%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-07-07 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.71%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-07-07 15:55