La escuela de los momiosEspañol
FK Kauno Žalgiris v FC Drita
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FK Kauno Žalgiris (Local)
Predicción 52.48%1.91momio equitativo
EV -1.87%
Ventaja -0.999%
Kelly -2.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.81%52.50%52.73%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.801.821.8760.61%55.55%54.95%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
FC Drita (Visitante)
Predicción 18.97%5.27momio equitativo
EV +11.90%
Ventaja +2.02%
Kelly +2.43%
Crecimiento +0.289%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.94%18.90%18.66%23.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.454.205.9026.67%22.49%23.81%16.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.56%3.50momio equitativo
EV -0.049%
Ventaja -0.014%
Kelly -0.020%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.57%28.59%28.61%30.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.083.353.383.5032.47%29.84%29.63%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (30 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.73%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.94%EV +11.90%E +2.02%K +2.43%G +0.289% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -11.47%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-07 15:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.73%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.94%EV +11.90%E +2.02%K +2.43%G +0.289% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -11.47%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-07 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.73%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.94%EV +11.90%E +2.02%K +2.43%G +0.289% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -11.47%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-07 15:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.80%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -1.38%E -0.265%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -12.04%E -3.91%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-07 15:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.20%EV -9.21%E -5.33%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -3.28%E -0.642%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-07 15:50 |
| Bovada | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.21%EV -4.49%E -2.47%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.00%EV -5.17%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -5.76%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-07 15:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -5.17%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-07 15:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -13.41%E -8.13%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -5.17%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -5.76%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-07 15:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -10.79%E -6.35%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -5.17%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -11.47%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-07 15:49 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.27%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -12.76%E -2.77%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -1.48%E -0.428%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-07 15:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.49%E -2.47%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -16.55%E -3.76%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 15:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.69%EV -12.36%E -7.40%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.23%EV -17.50%E -4.02%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-07 15:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -4.49%E -2.47%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -19.40%E -4.56%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -4.33%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-07 15:55 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -4.49%E -2.47%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -19.40%E -4.56%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -4.33%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-07 15:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.92%EV -8.69%E -4.99%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -20.35%E -4.84%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -2.90%E -0.854%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-07 15:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.87%EV -10.79%E -6.35%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.00%EV -20.35%E -4.84%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-07 15:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -7.12%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -22.24%E -5.42%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -4.33%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-07 15:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -1.87%E -0.999%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -25.09%E -6.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-07 15:05 |
| Unibet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -1.87%E -0.999%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -25.09%E -6.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-07 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -1.87%E -0.999%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -25.09%E -6.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-07 15:04 |
| Casumo | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -1.87%E -0.999%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -25.09%E -6.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-07 15:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -1.87%E -0.999%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -25.09%E -6.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-07 15:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -1.87%E -0.999%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -25.09%E -6.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-07 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -1.87%E -0.999%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -25.09%E -6.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-07 15:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -1.87%E -0.999%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -25.09%E -6.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-07 15:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -1.87%E -0.999%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -25.09%E -6.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-07 15:04 |
| betPARX | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -1.87%E -0.999%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -25.09%E -6.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-07 15:03 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -3.97%E -2.17%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -26.03%E -6.68%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -2.90%E -0.854%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-07 15:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -3.97%E -2.17%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -26.03%E -6.68%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -2.90%E -0.854%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-07 15:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.93%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -28.88%E -7.70%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -5.76%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-06 20:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.71% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-07-07 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.71% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-07-07 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.71% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-07-07 15:55 |