赔率学院赔率.net
默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Fenerbahce v Lyon

开赛时间： 2026-08-18 19:00 UTC

最终结果： Fenerbahce 1–1 Lyon

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

38 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fenerbahce (主队)

预测 46.19%2.16公平赔率
EV -2.08%
优势 -0.979%
Kelly -1.85%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.12

博彩公司预测分布
44.69%46.23%46.13%47.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.952.032.022.1251.28%49.29%49.50%47.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

Lyon (客队)

预测 26.51%3.77公平赔率
EV +0.218%
优势 +0.058%
Kelly +0.078%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.78

博彩公司预测分布
25.41%26.50%26.65%28.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.453.403.7831.25%28.97%29.41%26.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.30%3.66公平赔率
EV -0.368%
优势 -0.101%
Kelly -0.139%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.65

博彩公司预测分布
26.05%27.28%27.22%28.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.393.403.6531.25%29.50%29.41%27.40%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Fenerbahce (主队)：46.19%；Lyon (客队)：26.51%；平局：27.30%。 对于“Lyon (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.77。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.78，对应+0.218%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Marathon Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.28%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.64%EV +0.218%E +0.058%K +0.078%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.08%EV -2.28%E -0.636%K -0.883%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-18 18:55
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.52%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.41%EV -0.843%E -0.225%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.07%EV -4.19%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 18:55
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -3.23%E -0.885%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -4.46%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 18:55
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.80%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -4.55%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -4.46%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-18 18:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -4.55%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -0.368%E -0.101%K -0.139%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.40%EV -4.55%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.23%EV -4.74%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.40%EV -4.55%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.23%EV -4.74%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 18:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -9.00%E -4.57%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.55%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.46%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 18:45
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.03%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.95%EV -5.35%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.02%EV -2.82%E -0.793%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-18 18:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.39%EV -2.08%E -0.979%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.11%EV -5.88%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%EV -4.46%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-18 18:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.39%EV -2.08%E -0.979%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.11%EV -5.88%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%EV -4.46%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-18 18:45
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.88%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.10%E -0.872%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 18:55
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -5.88%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.46%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 18:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.38%E -2.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -4.46%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 18:45
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.92%E -3.01%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-18 18:29
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.92%E -3.01%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-18 18:55
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -8.53%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.92%E -3.01%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-18 18:50
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -8.53%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.92%E -3.01%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-18 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -1.73%E -0.481%K -0.666%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 17:55
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -4.38%E -2.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.19%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 18:45
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -4.38%E -2.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.19%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 18:45
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.29%E -3.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-18 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.29%E -3.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-18 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.29%E -3.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-18 18:55
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-18 18:55
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.93%E -5.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-18 18:13
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.93%E -5.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-18 18:55
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -11.18%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.83%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-18 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.97%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -11.18%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -8.56%E -2.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 18:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.97%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -11.18%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -8.56%E -2.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 18:45
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.97%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -11.18%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -8.56%E -2.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 18:45
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.51%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.46%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-18 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.51%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -11.29%E -3.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-18 18:45
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.51%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -11.29%E -3.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-18 18:45
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -12.51%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -11.29%E -3.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-18 18:45
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.93%E -5.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -13.83%E -4.26%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -7.19%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-18 18:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -8.54%E -4.31%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -15.16%E -4.74%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-18 18:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -8.54%E -4.31%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -15.16%E -4.74%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-18 18:45
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-08-18 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.89%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-08-18 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.28%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.14%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-08-18 18:55