Lingua:Italiano
Fenerbahce v Lyon
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Fenerbahce (Casa)
Previsione 46.19%2.16quota equa
EV -2.08%
Vantaggio -0.979%
Kelly -1.85%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.12
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.69%46.23%46.13%47.54%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.032.022.1251.28%49.29%49.50%47.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Lyon (Trasferta)
Previsione 26.51%3.77quota equa
EV +0.218%
Vantaggio +0.058%
Kelly +0.078%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.78
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.41%26.50%26.65%28.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.453.403.7831.25%28.97%29.41%26.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 27.30%3.66quota equa
EV -0.368%
Vantaggio -0.101%
Kelly -0.139%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.65
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.05%27.28%27.22%28.24%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.393.403.6531.25%29.50%29.41%27.40%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Fenerbahce (Casa): 46.19%; Lyon (Trasferta): 26.51%; Pareggio: 27.30%. Per Lyon (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.77. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.78, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.218%.
Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.28%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.64%EV +0.218%E +0.058%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.08%EV -2.28%E -0.636%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-18 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.52%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.41%EV -0.843%E -0.225%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.07%EV -4.19%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 18:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -3.23%E -0.885%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -4.46%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 18:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.80%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -4.55%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -4.46%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 18:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -4.55%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -0.368%E -0.101%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.40%EV -4.55%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.23%EV -4.74%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.40%EV -4.55%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.23%EV -4.74%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 18:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -9.00%E -4.57%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.55%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.46%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 18:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.03%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.95%EV -5.35%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.02%EV -2.82%E -0.793%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-18 18:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.39%EV -2.08%E -0.979%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.11%EV -5.88%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%EV -4.46%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-18 18:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.39%EV -2.08%E -0.979%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.11%EV -5.88%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%EV -4.46%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-18 18:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.88%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.10%E -0.872%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 18:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -5.88%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.46%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 18:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.38%E -2.12%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -4.46%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 18:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.92%E -3.01%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-18 18:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.92%E -3.01%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-18 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -8.53%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.92%E -3.01%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-18 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -8.53%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.92%E -3.01%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-18 18:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -1.73%E -0.481%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 17:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -4.38%E -2.12%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.19%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 18:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -4.38%E -2.12%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.19%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 18:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.29%E -3.47%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-18 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.29%E -3.47%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-18 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.29%E -3.47%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-18 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-18 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.93%E -5.09%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-18 18:13 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.93%E -5.09%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-18 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -11.18%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.83%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.97%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -11.18%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -8.56%E -2.55%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-18 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.97%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -11.18%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -8.56%E -2.55%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-18 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.97%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -11.18%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -8.56%E -2.55%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-18 18:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.51%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.46%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-18 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.51%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -11.29%E -3.47%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-18 18:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.51%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -11.29%E -3.47%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-18 18:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -12.51%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -11.29%E -3.47%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-18 18:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.93%E -5.09%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -13.83%E -4.26%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -7.19%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-18 18:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -8.54%E -4.31%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -15.16%E -4.74%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-18 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -8.54%E -4.31%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -15.16%E -4.74%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-18 18:45 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.51% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 0.5% | 2026-08-18 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.89% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.28% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.14% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58% | 0.7% | 2026-08-18 18:55 |