La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Fenerbahce v Górnik Zabrze
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Fenerbahce (Casa)
Previsione 78.85%1.27quota equa
EV -3.81%
Vantaggio -3.12%
Kelly -17.31%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.22
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
76.44%78.75%78.94%80.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.101.171.171.2290.91%85.68%85.47%81.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Górnik Zabrze (Trasferta)
Previsione 6.63%15.08quota equa
EV +23.03%
Vantaggio +1.24%
Kelly +1.31%
Crescita +0.302%
ipotizzando la quota massima 18.55
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
5.07%6.57%6.61%8.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
11.6014.0314.0018.558.62%7.13%7.14%5.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 14.52%6.89quota equa
EV +9.35%
Vantaggio +1.24%
Kelly +1.43%
Crescita +0.134%
ipotizzando la quota massima 7.53
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.62%14.67%14.45%16.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.506.636.757.5318.18%15.09%14.81%13.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.44%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.93%G +0.000% | 18.55I 5.39%NM 5.07%EV +23.03%E +1.24%K +1.31%G +0.302% | 5.71I 17.51%NM 16.48%EV -17.08%E -2.99%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.83%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.93%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.19%EV +19.38%E +1.08%K +1.14%G +0.221% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -20.13%E -3.66%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.83%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.93%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.19%EV +19.38%E +1.08%K +1.14%G +0.221% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -20.13%E -3.66%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.76%EV -7.75%E -6.62%K -45.59%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +9.43%E +0.572%K +0.608%G +0.057% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -7.06%E -1.10%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-21 17:40 |
| Betsson | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.76%EV -7.75%E -6.62%K -45.59%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +9.43%E +0.572%K +0.608%G +0.057% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -7.06%E -1.10%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-21 17:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.72%EV -10.12%E -8.87%K -72.26%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -0.517%E -0.034%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV +1.65%E +0.236%K +0.276%G +0.005% | 8.7% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.72%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.93%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -7.15%E -0.511%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.61%E -0.862%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -7.75%E -6.62%K -45.59%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -7.15%E -0.511%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +1.65%E +0.236%K +0.276%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| Casumo | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -7.75%E -6.62%K -45.59%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -7.15%E -0.511%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +1.65%E +0.236%K +0.276%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| Unibet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -7.75%E -6.62%K -45.59%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -7.15%E -0.511%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +1.65%E +0.236%K +0.276%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -7.75%E -6.62%K -45.59%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -7.15%E -0.511%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +1.65%E +0.236%K +0.276%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -7.75%E -6.62%K -45.59%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -7.15%E -0.511%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +1.65%E +0.236%K +0.276%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -7.75%E -6.62%K -45.59%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -7.15%E -0.511%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +1.65%E +0.236%K +0.276%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| betPARX | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -7.75%E -6.62%K -45.59%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -7.15%E -0.511%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +1.65%E +0.236%K +0.276%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -8.54%E -7.36%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV -7.15%E -0.511%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +1.65%E +0.236%K +0.276%G +0.005% | 7.6% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -8.54%E -7.36%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV -7.15%E -0.511%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +1.65%E +0.236%K +0.276%G +0.005% | 7.6% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.23%EV -9.33%E -8.11%K -62.18%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV -7.15%E -0.511%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV +1.65%E +0.236%K +0.276%G +0.005% | 8.4% | 2026-07-21 17:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.92%EV -9.33%E -8.11%K -62.18%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV -7.15%E -0.511%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.52%EV -1.25%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.21%EV -7.75%E -6.62%K -45.59%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.54%EV -7.15%E -0.511%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -12.87%E -2.14%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.98%EV -10.12%E -8.87%K -72.26%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -7.15%E -0.511%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -1.98%E -0.293%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.98%EV -10.12%E -8.87%K -72.26%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -7.15%E -0.511%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -1.98%E -0.293%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.51%EV -10.90%E -9.65%K -83.88%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.50%EV -7.15%E -0.511%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV +1.65%E +0.236%K +0.276%G +0.005% | 9.9% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |
| Bovada | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.60%EV -4.60%E -3.80%K -21.89%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV -13.78%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -1.98%E -0.293%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.46%EV -6.17%E -5.19%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -13.78%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -5.61%E -0.862%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -6.96%E -5.90%K -38.68%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -13.78%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -5.61%E -0.862%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -6.96%E -5.90%K -38.68%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -13.78%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -5.61%E -0.862%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.67%EV -6.96%E -5.90%K -38.68%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -13.78%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -12.87%E -2.14%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.58%EV -10.12%E -8.87%K -72.26%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -13.78%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -1.98%E -0.293%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-21 17:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.11I 90.09%NM 79.61%EV -12.48%E -11.24%K -113.47%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.80%EV -13.78%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.59%EV -5.61%E -0.862%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 79.75%EV -13.27%E -12.06%K -132.70%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.75%EV -13.78%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.50%EV -5.61%E -0.862%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| Neds | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.54%EV -6.96%E -5.90%K -38.68%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.51%EV -17.10%E -1.37%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.95%EV +5.29%E +0.729%K +0.846%G +0.045% | 6.5% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.44%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 12.25I 8.16%NM 7.61%EV -18.76%E -1.53%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.94%EV -15.05%E -2.57%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |
| 888sport | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -6.96%E -5.90%K -38.68%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -20.41%E -1.70%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -5.61%E -0.862%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 79.16%EV -12.48%E -11.24%K -113.47%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.32%EV -20.41%E -1.70%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.52%EV -5.61%E -0.862%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.19%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.93%G +0.000% | 11.60I 8.62%NM 8.19%EV -23.07%E -1.99%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.53I 13.28%NM 12.62%EV +9.35%E +1.24%K +1.43%G +0.134% | 5.2% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.90% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.97% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.13% | 0.5% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.68% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10% | 0.8% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.68% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10% | 0.8% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |