L’École des cotesFrançais
Fenerbahce v Górnik Zabrze
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fenerbahce (Local)
Prévision 78.85%1.27cote équitable
EV -3.81%
Avantage -3.12%
Kelly -17.31%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.22
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.44%78.75%78.94%80.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.101.171.171.2290.91%85.68%85.47%81.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Górnik Zabrze (Visiteur)
Prévision 6.63%15.08cote équitable
EV +23.03%
Avantage +1.24%
Kelly +1.31%
Croissance +0.302%
avec la cote maximale 18.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.07%6.57%6.61%8.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
11.6014.0314.0018.558.62%7.13%7.14%5.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 14.52%6.89cote équitable
EV +9.35%
Avantage +1.24%
Kelly +1.43%
Croissance +0.134%
avec la cote maximale 7.53
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.62%14.67%14.45%16.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.636.757.5318.18%15.09%14.81%13.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.44%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.93%G +0.000% | 18.55I 5.39%NM 5.07%EV +23.03%E +1.24%K +1.31%G +0.302% | 5.71I 17.51%NM 16.48%EV -17.08%E -2.99%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.83%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.93%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.19%EV +19.38%E +1.08%K +1.14%G +0.221% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -20.13%E -3.66%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.83%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.93%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.19%EV +19.38%E +1.08%K +1.14%G +0.221% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -20.13%E -3.66%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.76%EV -7.75%E -6.62%K -45.59%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +9.43%E +0.572%K +0.608%G +0.057% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -7.06%E -1.10%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-21 17:40 |
| Betsson | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.76%EV -7.75%E -6.62%K -45.59%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +9.43%E +0.572%K +0.608%G +0.057% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -7.06%E -1.10%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-21 17:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.72%EV -10.12%E -8.87%K -72.26%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -0.517%E -0.034%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV +1.65%E +0.236%K +0.276%G +0.005% | 8.7% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.72%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.93%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -7.15%E -0.511%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.61%E -0.862%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -7.75%E -6.62%K -45.59%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -7.15%E -0.511%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +1.65%E +0.236%K +0.276%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| Casumo | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -7.75%E -6.62%K -45.59%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -7.15%E -0.511%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +1.65%E +0.236%K +0.276%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| Unibet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -7.75%E -6.62%K -45.59%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -7.15%E -0.511%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +1.65%E +0.236%K +0.276%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -7.75%E -6.62%K -45.59%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -7.15%E -0.511%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +1.65%E +0.236%K +0.276%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -7.75%E -6.62%K -45.59%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -7.15%E -0.511%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +1.65%E +0.236%K +0.276%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -7.75%E -6.62%K -45.59%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -7.15%E -0.511%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +1.65%E +0.236%K +0.276%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| betPARX | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -7.75%E -6.62%K -45.59%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -7.15%E -0.511%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +1.65%E +0.236%K +0.276%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -8.54%E -7.36%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV -7.15%E -0.511%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +1.65%E +0.236%K +0.276%G +0.005% | 7.6% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -8.54%E -7.36%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV -7.15%E -0.511%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +1.65%E +0.236%K +0.276%G +0.005% | 7.6% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.23%EV -9.33%E -8.11%K -62.18%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV -7.15%E -0.511%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV +1.65%E +0.236%K +0.276%G +0.005% | 8.4% | 2026-07-21 17:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.92%EV -9.33%E -8.11%K -62.18%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV -7.15%E -0.511%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.52%EV -1.25%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.21%EV -7.75%E -6.62%K -45.59%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.54%EV -7.15%E -0.511%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -12.87%E -2.14%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.98%EV -10.12%E -8.87%K -72.26%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -7.15%E -0.511%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -1.98%E -0.293%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.98%EV -10.12%E -8.87%K -72.26%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -7.15%E -0.511%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -1.98%E -0.293%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.51%EV -10.90%E -9.65%K -83.88%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.50%EV -7.15%E -0.511%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV +1.65%E +0.236%K +0.276%G +0.005% | 9.9% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |
| Bovada | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.60%EV -4.60%E -3.80%K -21.89%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV -13.78%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -1.98%E -0.293%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.46%EV -6.17%E -5.19%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -13.78%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -5.61%E -0.862%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -6.96%E -5.90%K -38.68%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -13.78%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -5.61%E -0.862%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -6.96%E -5.90%K -38.68%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -13.78%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -5.61%E -0.862%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.67%EV -6.96%E -5.90%K -38.68%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -13.78%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -12.87%E -2.14%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.58%EV -10.12%E -8.87%K -72.26%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -13.78%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -1.98%E -0.293%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-21 17:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.11I 90.09%NM 79.61%EV -12.48%E -11.24%K -113.47%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.80%EV -13.78%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.59%EV -5.61%E -0.862%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 79.75%EV -13.27%E -12.06%K -132.70%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.75%EV -13.78%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.50%EV -5.61%E -0.862%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| Neds | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.54%EV -6.96%E -5.90%K -38.68%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.51%EV -17.10%E -1.37%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.95%EV +5.29%E +0.729%K +0.846%G +0.045% | 6.5% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.44%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 12.25I 8.16%NM 7.61%EV -18.76%E -1.53%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.94%EV -15.05%E -2.57%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |
| 888sport | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -6.96%E -5.90%K -38.68%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -20.41%E -1.70%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -5.61%E -0.862%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 79.16%EV -12.48%E -11.24%K -113.47%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.32%EV -20.41%E -1.70%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.52%EV -5.61%E -0.862%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.19%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.93%G +0.000% | 11.60I 8.62%NM 8.19%EV -23.07%E -1.99%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.53I 13.28%NM 12.62%EV +9.35%E +1.24%K +1.43%G +0.134% | 5.2% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.90% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.97% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.13% | 0.5% | 2026-07-21 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.68% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10% | 0.8% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.68% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10% | 0.8% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |