FC Ararat-Armenia v Shamrock Rovers

2026-07-21 16:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

39%

34%

27%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

FC Ararat-Armenia (Local)

Prediction 38.89%2.57fair odd

EV -5.89%

Edge -2.43%

Kelly -4.15%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

38.46%38.91%38.89%40.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.152.352.402.4247%42%42%41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Shamrock Rovers (Visit)

Prediction 33.70%2.97fair odd

EV -6.32%

Edge -2.27%

Kelly -3.55%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

33.23%33.73%33.70%34.37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.602.712.752.7838%37%36%36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.42%3.65fair odd

EV -1.30%

Edge -0.362%

Kelly -0.501%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

26.25%27.36%27.42%27.97%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.253.383.343.6031%30%30%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet	2.42I 41.32%NM 38.53%EV -5.89%E -2.43%K -4.15%G +0.000%	2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -6.32%E -2.27%K -3.55%G +0.000%	3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -8.43%E -2.52%K -3.60%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-17 18:25
Marathon Bet	2.42I 41.32%NM 38.53%EV -5.89%E -2.43%K -4.15%G +0.000%	2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -6.32%E -2.27%K -3.55%G +0.000%	3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -8.43%E -2.52%K -3.60%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-17 18:09
Betr (AU)	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.33%E -2.67%K -4.19%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -1.30%E -0.362%K -0.501%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-17 18:20
Coolbet	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.33%E -2.67%K -4.19%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.04%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-07-17 18:29
888sport	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.33%E -2.67%K -4.19%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-07-17 18:34
888sport (SE)	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.33%E -2.67%K -4.19%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-07-17 18:34
Mr Green (SE)	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.33%E -2.67%K -4.19%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-07-17 18:34
Bet Right	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -8.61%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.02%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-07-17 18:19
PlayUp	2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -8.61%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -10.70%E -4.04%K -6.49%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-07-17 20:09
SportsBet	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -9.02%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -5.42%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-07-17 18:19
FanDuel	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.02%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-07-17 18:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -11.38%E -4.33%K -6.98%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-07-17 14:49
Paddy Power	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -11.72%E -4.47%K -7.23%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-07-17 18:19
Unibet (FR)	2.15I 46.51%NM 40.19%EV -16.39%E -7.62%K -14.25%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 33.23%EV -12.39%E -4.77%K -7.74%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 26.58%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%	15.7%	2026-07-17 18:14

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.