L’École des cotes

FC Ararat-Armenia v Shamrock Rovers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-21 16:00 UTC

Score final : FC Ararat-Armenia 2–0 Shamrock Rovers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Ararat-Armenia (Local)

Prévision 43.61%2.29cote équitable
EV -2.30%
Avantage -1.03%
Kelly -1.86%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.47%43.55%43.68%44.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.122.122.2450.00%47.22%47.17%44.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shamrock Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.33%3.66cote équitable
EV -2.99%
Avantage -0.843%
Kelly -1.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.31%27.43%27.28%28.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.053.303.303.5532.79%30.34%30.30%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.06%3.44cote équitable
EV -2.07%
Avantage -0.613%
Kelly -0.872%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.52%29.03%29.04%29.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.243.243.3732.26%30.87%30.86%29.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 43.32%EV -2.30%E -1.03%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.88%EV -4.91%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.79%EV -2.07%E -0.613%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-21 15:40
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.54%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -2.99%E -0.843%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-21 15:45
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 15:45
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 15:35
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 15:45
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -4.92%E -2.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -8.46%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 15:35
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -4.92%E -2.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -8.46%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 15:35
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-21 15:45
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 15:15
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -12.56%E -3.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 15:45
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 43.86%EV -7.10%E -3.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.31%EV -6.55%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.83%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 15:15
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 43.86%EV -7.10%E -3.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.31%EV -6.55%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.83%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 15:15
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.02%EV -7.54%E -3.56%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -4.91%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 15:45
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.54%E -3.56%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -12.56%E -3.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.65%E -0.790%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-21 15:10
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.54%E -3.56%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -12.56%E -3.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.65%E -0.790%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-21 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.54%E -3.56%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -12.56%E -3.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.65%E -0.790%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-21 15:10
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.54%E -3.56%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -12.56%E -3.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.65%E -0.790%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-21 15:10
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.54%E -3.56%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -12.56%E -3.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.65%E -0.790%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-21 15:10
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.54%E -3.56%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -12.56%E -3.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.65%E -0.790%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-21 15:10
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.54%E -3.56%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -12.56%E -3.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.65%E -0.790%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-21 15:10
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.54%E -3.56%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -12.56%E -3.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.65%E -0.790%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-21 15:10
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.54%E -3.56%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -12.56%E -3.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.65%E -0.790%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-21 15:10
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -7.54%E -3.56%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -12.56%E -3.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.65%E -0.790%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-21 15:10
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -7.54%E -3.56%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-21 15:45
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.41%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 15:45
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.41%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-21 15:45
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.41%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-21 15:45
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.41%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-21 15:45
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.41%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.29%E -4.93%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-21 15:40
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -9.28%E -4.46%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.46%E -2.69%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 15:45
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -9.28%E -4.46%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -13.92%E -4.42%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 15:10
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -9.28%E -4.46%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -13.92%E -4.42%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 15:10
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -10.59%E -5.17%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 15:45
PMU (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.60%EV -11.90%E -5.89%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.88%EV -16.66%E -5.46%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.52%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-21 15:10
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -12.77%E -6.39%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -12.56%E -3.92%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-21 15:39
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -12.77%E -6.39%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-21 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -12.77%E -6.39%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-21 15:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-07-21 15:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-07-21 15:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-07-21 15:45