A Escola das Odds

FC Ararat-Armenia v Riga FC

Início: 2026-07-07 16:00 UTC

Final: FC Ararat-Armenia 2–0 Riga FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

34 casas de apostas (8 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

FC Ararat-Armenia (Local)

Previsão 36.76%2.72odd justa
EV -0.752%
Vantagem -0.278%
Kelly -0.442%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.21%36.66%36.75%38.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.302.582.582.7043.48%38.76%38.76%37.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Riga FC (Visitante)

Previsão 34.37%2.91odd justa
EV -5.15%
Vantagem -1.86%
Kelly -2.92%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.56%34.60%34.28%36.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.612.602.7641.67%38.25%38.46%36.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.87%3.46odd justa
EV -1.83%
Vantagem -0.538%
Kelly -0.762%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.46%28.74%28.97%30.20%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.183.203.4033.33%31.45%31.25%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (34 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -0.752%E -0.278%K -0.442%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -12.36%E -4.85%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:45
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -0.752%E -0.278%K -0.442%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -12.36%E -4.85%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:50
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -0.752%E -0.278%K -0.442%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -12.36%E -4.85%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:50
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -0.752%E -0.278%K -0.442%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -12.36%E -4.85%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -0.752%E -0.278%K -0.442%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -12.36%E -4.85%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:45
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -0.752%E -0.278%K -0.442%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -12.36%E -4.85%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:45
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -0.752%E -0.278%K -0.442%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -12.36%E -4.85%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:45
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -0.752%E -0.278%K -0.442%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -12.36%E -4.85%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:50
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -0.752%E -0.278%K -0.442%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -12.36%E -4.85%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:50
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -0.752%E -0.278%K -0.442%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -12.36%E -4.85%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:45
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -2.59%E -0.977%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -1.83%E -0.538%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 15:40
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -2.59%E -0.977%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -14.77%E -5.96%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -10.49%E -3.38%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-07 15:50
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -2.59%E -0.977%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -14.77%E -5.96%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -10.49%E -3.38%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-07 15:45
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 15:49
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -6.16%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 15:50
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.16%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-07 15:50
1xBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -5.16%E -2.00%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.45%EV -6.86%E -2.53%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.36%EV -8.18%E -2.57%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 15:55
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.95%EV -5.16%E -2.00%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.61%EV -7.90%E -2.95%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -9.05%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-07 15:45
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -6.27%E -2.46%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -12.36%E -4.85%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -6.16%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-07 15:40
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -6.27%E -2.46%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -15.80%E -6.45%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-07 15:40
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -6.27%E -2.46%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -13.38%E -4.46%K -6.69%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-07 15:45
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.33%EV -6.27%E -2.46%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.48%EV -17.52%E -7.30%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.18%EV -13.38%E -4.46%K -6.69%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-07 15:45
LowVig.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 37.01%EV -6.63%E -2.61%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.06%EV -5.15%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -6.16%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 15:54
BetOnline.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 37.01%EV -6.63%E -2.61%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.06%EV -5.15%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -6.16%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 15:55
Marathon Bet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -7.37%E -2.92%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.03%EV -5.83%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -7.03%E -2.18%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-07 15:55
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -7.37%E -2.92%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -6.52%E -2.40%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -9.05%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-07 15:55
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.38%E -4.46%K -6.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-07 15:55
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.38%E -4.46%K -6.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-07 15:55
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.38%E -4.46%K -6.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-07 15:55
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.94%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:34
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.94%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -6.16%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-07 15:35
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.78%E -4.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -9.96%E -3.80%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.49%E -3.38%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-07 15:34
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -12.51%E -5.26%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -14.08%E -5.63%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-07 15:54
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -15.46%E -6.72%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.68%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -10.49%E -3.38%K -5.00%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-07 15:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.12%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-07-07 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.04%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.76%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-07-07 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.55%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%0.9%2026-07-07 15:50