L’École des cotes

FC Ararat-Armenia v Riga FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-07 16:00 UTC

Score final : FC Ararat-Armenia 2–0 Riga FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (8 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Ararat-Armenia (Local)

Prévision 36.76%2.72cote équitable
EV -0.752%
Avantage -0.278%
Kelly -0.442%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.21%36.66%36.75%38.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.582.582.7043.48%38.76%38.76%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Riga FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.37%2.91cote équitable
EV -5.15%
Avantage -1.86%
Kelly -2.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.56%34.60%34.28%36.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.612.602.7641.67%38.25%38.46%36.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.87%3.46cote équitable
EV -1.83%
Avantage -0.538%
Kelly -0.762%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.46%28.74%28.97%30.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.183.203.4033.33%31.45%31.25%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -0.752%E -0.278%K -0.442%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -12.36%E -4.85%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:45
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -0.752%E -0.278%K -0.442%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -12.36%E -4.85%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:50
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -0.752%E -0.278%K -0.442%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -12.36%E -4.85%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:50
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -0.752%E -0.278%K -0.442%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -12.36%E -4.85%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -0.752%E -0.278%K -0.442%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -12.36%E -4.85%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:45
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -0.752%E -0.278%K -0.442%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -12.36%E -4.85%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:45
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -0.752%E -0.278%K -0.442%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -12.36%E -4.85%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:45
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -0.752%E -0.278%K -0.442%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -12.36%E -4.85%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:50
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -0.752%E -0.278%K -0.442%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -12.36%E -4.85%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:50
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -0.752%E -0.278%K -0.442%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -12.36%E -4.85%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:45
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -2.59%E -0.977%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -1.83%E -0.538%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 15:40
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -2.59%E -0.977%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -14.77%E -5.96%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -10.49%E -3.38%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-07 15:50
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -2.59%E -0.977%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -14.77%E -5.96%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -10.49%E -3.38%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-07 15:45
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 15:49
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -6.16%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 15:50
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.16%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-07 15:50
1xBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -5.16%E -2.00%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.45%EV -6.86%E -2.53%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.36%EV -8.18%E -2.57%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 15:55
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.95%EV -5.16%E -2.00%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.61%EV -7.90%E -2.95%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -9.05%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-07 15:45
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -6.27%E -2.46%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -12.36%E -4.85%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -6.16%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-07 15:40
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -6.27%E -2.46%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -15.80%E -6.45%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-07 15:40
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -6.27%E -2.46%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -13.38%E -4.46%K -6.69%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-07 15:45
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.33%EV -6.27%E -2.46%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.48%EV -17.52%E -7.30%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.18%EV -13.38%E -4.46%K -6.69%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-07 15:45
LowVig.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 37.01%EV -6.63%E -2.61%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.06%EV -5.15%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -6.16%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 15:54
BetOnline.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 37.01%EV -6.63%E -2.61%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.06%EV -5.15%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -6.16%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 15:55
Marathon Bet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -7.37%E -2.92%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.03%EV -5.83%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -7.03%E -2.18%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-07 15:55
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -7.37%E -2.92%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -6.52%E -2.40%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -9.05%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-07 15:55
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.38%E -4.46%K -6.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-07 15:55
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.38%E -4.46%K -6.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-07 15:55
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.10%E -3.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.38%E -4.46%K -6.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-07 15:55
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.94%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:34
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.94%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -6.16%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-07 15:35
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.78%E -4.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -9.96%E -3.80%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.49%E -3.38%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-07 15:34
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -12.51%E -5.26%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -14.08%E -5.63%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-07 15:54
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -15.46%E -6.72%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.68%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -10.49%E -3.38%K -5.00%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-07 15:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.12%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-07-07 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.04%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.76%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-07-07 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.55%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%0.9%2026-07-07 15:50