Language:English
Dinamo Zagreb v FK Kauno Žalgiris
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dinamo Zagreb (Local)
Prediction 82.45%1.21fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -3.02%
Kelly -20.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.77%82.24%82.83%83.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.131.131.1793.46%88.35%88.50%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FK Kauno Žalgiris (Visit)
Prediction 5.18%19.32fair odd
EV +13.88%
Edge +0.631%
Kelly +0.661%
Growth +0.092%
assuming max odds 22.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.32%5.17%5.12%6.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
14.0017.5718.0022.007.14%5.69%5.56%4.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 12.37%8.08fair odd
EV +4.54%
Edge +0.538%
Kelly +0.610%
Growth +0.028%
assuming max odds 8.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.29%12.60%12.05%14.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.257.347.508.4516.00%13.62%13.33%11.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dinamo Zagreb (Local): 82.45%; FK Kauno Žalgiris (Visit): 5.18%; Draw: 12.37%. For FK Kauno Žalgiris (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 19.32. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 22.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.88%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.91%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.22%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.32%EV +13.88%E +0.631%K +0.661%G +0.092% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.77%EV -14.63%E -2.12%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 17:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.91%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.22%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.32%EV +13.88%E +0.631%K +0.661%G +0.092% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.77%EV -14.63%E -2.12%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 17:33 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.69%EV -6.00%E -5.27%K -42.89%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.02%EV -1.65%E -0.087%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 8.45I 11.83%NM 11.29%EV +4.54%E +0.538%K +0.610%G +0.028% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.69%EV -6.00%E -5.27%K -42.89%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.02%EV -1.65%E -0.087%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 8.45I 11.83%NM 11.29%EV +4.54%E +0.538%K +0.610%G +0.028% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 14:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.41%EV -7.65%E -6.83%K -63.78%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.92%EV -1.65%E -0.087%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -1.02%E -0.128%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 17:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -6.00%E -5.27%K -42.89%G +0.000% | 18.40I 5.43%NM 5.15%EV -4.76%E -0.259%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 8.05I 12.42%NM 11.77%EV -0.406%E -0.050%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.12%EV -7.65%E -6.83%K -63.78%G +0.000% | 18.25I 5.48%NM 5.10%EV -5.53%E -0.303%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.78%EV -2.26%E -0.286%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.29%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.22%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV -6.83%E -0.379%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -13.40%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.41%EV -6.83%E -6.04%K -52.53%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.17%EV -6.83%E -0.379%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -7.21%E -0.961%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.41%EV -6.83%E -6.04%K -52.53%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.17%EV -6.83%E -0.379%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -7.21%E -0.961%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 17:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.41%EV -6.83%E -6.04%K -52.53%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.17%EV -6.83%E -0.379%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -7.21%E -0.961%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.41%EV -6.83%E -6.04%K -52.53%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.17%EV -6.83%E -0.379%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -7.21%E -0.961%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 17:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.41%EV -6.83%E -6.04%K -52.53%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.17%EV -6.83%E -0.379%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -7.21%E -0.961%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 17:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.41%EV -6.83%E -6.04%K -52.53%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.17%EV -6.83%E -0.379%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -7.21%E -0.961%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 17:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.41%EV -6.83%E -6.04%K -52.53%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.17%EV -6.83%E -0.379%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -7.21%E -0.961%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 17:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.41%EV -6.83%E -6.04%K -52.53%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.17%EV -6.83%E -0.379%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -7.21%E -0.961%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 17:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.41%EV -6.83%E -6.04%K -52.53%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.17%EV -6.83%E -0.379%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -7.21%E -0.961%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 17:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.54%EV -7.65%E -6.83%K -63.78%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV -6.83%E -0.379%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -7.21%E -0.961%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.67%EV -8.48%E -7.64%K -77.08%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV -6.83%E -0.379%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -7.21%E -0.961%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-04 10:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.95%EV -8.48%E -7.64%K -77.08%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.05%EV -6.83%E -0.379%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -13.40%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-04 17:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.95%EV -8.48%E -7.64%K -77.08%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.05%EV -6.83%E -0.379%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -13.40%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-04 17:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.08%EV -3.53%E -3.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.51%EV -12.00%E -0.706%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -19.58%E -3.01%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 17:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.64%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.22%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -12.00%E -0.706%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV -16.49%E -2.44%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.89%EV -5.18%E -4.50%K -34.54%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.40%EV -12.00%E -0.706%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.70%EV -22.68%E -3.63%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.75%EV -8.48%E -7.64%K -77.08%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.40%EV -12.00%E -0.706%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.85%EV -4.12%E -0.531%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-04 17:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 81.87%EV -11.78%E -11.01%K -168.24%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.15%EV -12.00%E -0.706%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.98%EV -16.49%E -2.44%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-04 17:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.69%EV -3.53%E -3.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.97%EV -17.18%E -1.07%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -4.12%E -0.531%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 17:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.39%EV -6.00%E -5.27%K -42.89%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV -17.18%E -1.07%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -1.02%E -0.128%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 17:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.77%EV -5.18%E -4.50%K -34.54%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -22.36%E -1.49%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -19.58%E -3.01%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-04 17:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.53%EV -7.65%E -6.83%K -63.78%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.01%EV -22.36%E -1.49%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.46%EV -17.11%E -2.55%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-04 17:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.27%EV -9.30%E -8.46%K -93.03%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -22.36%E -1.49%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -13.40%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-04 17:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.32%EV -3.53%E -3.02%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV -27.53%E -1.97%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.96%EV -10.30%E -1.42%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 11:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 81.21%EV -10.95%E -10.14%K -136.90%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.26%EV -27.53%E -1.97%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.53%EV -13.40%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-04 17:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.11% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.83% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.06% | 0.4% | 2026-08-04 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.11% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.83% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.06% | 0.4% | 2026-08-04 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.11% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.83% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.06% | 0.4% | 2026-08-04 17:50 |
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