Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Dinamo Zagreb v FK Kauno Žalgiris

2026-08-04 18:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Résultat du match

27 opérateurs (6 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Dinamo Zagreb (Local)

Prévision 76.50%1.31cote équitable
EV -4.37%
Avantage -3.50%
Kelly -17.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.75%76.53%76.55%77.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.161.211.221.2586.21%82.70%81.97%80.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

FK Kauno Žalgiris (Visiteur)

Prévision 6.45%15.49cote équitable
EV +3.28%
Avantage +0.205%
Kelly +0.219%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 16.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.74%6.45%6.53%7.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
12.0013.4713.0016.008.33%7.42%7.69%6.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 17.04%5.87cote équitable
EV -2.01%
Avantage -0.350%
Kelly -0.423%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.25%17.02%16.92%18.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.545.605.7520.00%18.04%17.86%17.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cotes des opérateurs (27 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.58%EV -8.20%E -6.83%K -40.98%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV +3.28%E +0.205%K +0.219%G +0.007%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -11.38%E -2.19%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-30 13:50
Marathon Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.08%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.38%G +0.000%15.25I 6.56%NM 6.12%EV -1.56%E -0.102%K -0.110%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.80%EV -5.42%E -0.976%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-30 13:04
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 77.31%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV -3.18%E -0.212%K -0.227%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -2.01%E -0.350%K -0.423%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 10:59
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.89%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.48%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.54%EV -6.40%E -0.442%K -0.474%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.57%EV -7.98%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 11:25
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.89%EV -4.37%E -3.50%K -17.48%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.54%EV -6.40%E -0.442%K -0.474%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.57%EV -7.98%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 11:25
Betr (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.82%EV -5.90%E -4.80%K -25.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -9.63%E -0.688%K -0.741%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -2.01%E -0.350%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 10:54
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV -9.63%E -0.688%K -0.741%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -6.27%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-30 10:50
SportsBet1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -9.73%E -8.24%K -54.03%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -9.63%E -0.688%K -0.741%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.27%EV -4.57%E -0.816%K -0.993%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-30 11:34
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -9.73%E -8.24%K -54.03%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -9.63%E -0.688%K -0.741%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.27%EV -4.57%E -0.816%K -0.993%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-30 11:34
Unibet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 76.05%EV -11.26%E -9.70%K -70.35%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.30%EV -9.63%E -0.688%K -0.741%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.64%EV -14.79%E -2.96%K -3.70%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-30 10:44
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.57%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -16.09%E -1.24%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -2.01%E -0.350%K -0.423%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-30 10:44
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.57%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -16.09%E -1.24%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -2.01%E -0.350%K -0.423%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-30 10:45
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.57%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -16.09%E -1.24%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -2.01%E -0.350%K -0.423%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-30 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.57%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -16.09%E -1.24%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -2.01%E -0.350%K -0.423%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-30 10:44
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 76.57%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -16.09%E -1.24%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -2.01%E -0.350%K -0.423%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-30 10:44
Casumo1.22I 81.97%NM 76.57%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -16.09%E -1.24%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -2.01%E -0.350%K -0.423%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-30 10:44
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.57%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -16.09%E -1.24%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -2.01%E -0.350%K -0.423%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-30 10:45
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 76.57%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -16.09%E -1.24%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -2.01%E -0.350%K -0.423%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-30 10:45
betPARX1.22I 81.97%NM 76.57%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -16.09%E -1.24%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -2.01%E -0.350%K -0.423%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-30 10:45
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 76.01%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -16.09%E -1.24%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -6.27%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-30 12:45
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 75.55%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.38%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -16.09%E -1.24%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -10.53%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-30 10:50
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 74.75%EV -6.67%E -5.46%K -30.30%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -16.09%E -1.24%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -14.79%E -2.96%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-30 11:24
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 76.76%EV -10.49%E -8.97%K -61.71%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91%EV -16.09%E -1.24%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -6.27%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-30 11:35
Grosvenor1.21I 82.64%NM 76.17%EV -7.43%E -6.14%K -35.38%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV -19.31%E -1.55%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -4.57%E -0.816%K -0.993%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-30 10:45
LiveScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 76.24%EV -8.96%E -7.53%K -47.16%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.26%EV -19.31%E -1.55%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -6.27%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-30 10:45
Virgin Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 76.24%EV -8.96%E -7.53%K -47.16%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.26%EV -19.31%E -1.55%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -6.27%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-30 10:44
PMU (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 76.01%EV -11.26%E -9.70%K -70.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.35%EV -22.54%E -1.88%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.64%EV -9.68%E -1.83%K -2.25%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-30 10:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.