The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Celtic v LASK

Kickoff: 2026-08-19 19:00 UTC

Final: Celtic 3–0 LASK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Celtic (Local)

Prediction 52.59%1.90fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -3.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.65%52.61%52.60%54.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.771.781.8559.88%56.36%56.18%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

LASK (Visit)

Prediction 23.42%4.27fair odd
EV +0.695%
Edge +0.162%
Kelly +0.211%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.26%23.42%23.45%24.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.004.004.3027.78%24.99%25.00%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.99%4.17fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -0.582%
Kelly -0.771%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.38%23.97%23.96%25.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.803.754.0728.17%26.30%26.67%24.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Celtic (Local): 52.59%; LASK (Visit): 23.42%; Draw: 23.99%. For LASK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.27. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.695%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.61%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.39%EV +0.695%E +0.162%K +0.211%G +0.001%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%EV -7.65%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.61%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.39%EV +0.695%E +0.162%K +0.211%G +0.001%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%EV -7.65%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 18:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -8.49%E -4.88%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -1.65%E -0.392%K -0.515%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-19 18:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -9.54%E -5.55%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -1.65%E -0.392%K -0.515%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 18:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.40%EV -2.70%E -1.46%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.36%EV -2.82%E -0.679%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-19 18:55
Coolbet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -4.80%E -2.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.16%EV -2.82%E -0.679%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -2.85%E -0.703%K -0.934%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-19 18:55
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.37%EV -6.38%E -3.59%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -3.99%E -0.973%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.46%EV -2.85%E -0.703%K -0.934%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 18:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -5.86%E -3.27%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -3.99%E -0.973%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.24%E -3.04%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 18:55
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -5.86%E -3.27%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -3.99%E -0.973%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.24%E -3.04%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 18:55
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -5.86%E -3.27%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -3.99%E -0.973%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.24%E -3.04%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 18:55
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.40%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.56%EV -4.69%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.03%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.20%EV -5.86%E -3.27%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.40%EV -4.69%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.40%EV -2.37%E -0.582%K -0.771%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.20%EV -5.86%E -3.27%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.40%EV -4.69%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.40%EV -2.37%E -0.582%K -0.771%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 18:50
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.53%EV -5.16%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.53%EV -2.85%E -0.703%K -0.934%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 18:50
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 18:43
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.84%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 18:54
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -6.91%E -3.90%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -11.24%E -3.04%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-19 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.74%EV -6.38%E -3.59%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -12.44%E -3.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-19 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.74%EV -6.38%E -3.59%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -12.44%E -3.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-19 18:55
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.74%EV -6.38%E -3.59%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -12.44%E -3.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-19 18:55
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.04%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-19 18:50
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.04%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-19 18:50
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.47%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -7.50%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.88%EV -7.50%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -14.84%E -4.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-19 18:55
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.88%EV -7.50%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -14.84%E -4.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-19 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.67%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 18:40
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -8.67%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.45%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-19 18:10
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -8.67%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -11.24%E -3.04%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-19 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -8.67%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -11.24%E -3.04%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-19 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -8.67%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -11.24%E -3.04%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-19 18:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.65%EV -8.49%E -4.88%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.04%EV -8.67%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -14.84%E -4.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-19 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.65%EV -8.49%E -4.88%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.04%EV -8.67%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -14.84%E -4.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-19 18:55
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.67%EV -12.17%E -7.29%K -18.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -8.67%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -14.84%E -4.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-19 18:55
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.71%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -9.84%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -12.44%E -3.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-19 18:50
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.08%EV -7.43%E -4.22%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.01%E -2.90%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -7.65%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-19 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -9.01%E -5.21%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.01%E -2.90%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.64%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-19 18:40
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -9.01%E -5.21%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.70%E -4.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -8.84%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-19 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 53.03%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.32%0.3%2026-08-19 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 53.03%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.32%0.3%2026-08-19 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.16%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-08-19 18:55