默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Celtic v LASK

开赛时间: 2026-08-19 19:00 UTC

最终结果: Celtic 3–0 LASK

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

37 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Celtic (主队)

预测 52.59%1.90公平赔率
EV -2.70%
优势 -1.46%
Kelly -3.18%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.85

博彩公司预测分布
51.65%52.61%52.60%54.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.671.771.781.8559.88%56.36%56.18%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

LASK (客队)

预测 23.42%4.27公平赔率
EV +0.695%
优势 +0.162%
Kelly +0.211%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 4.30

博彩公司预测分布
22.26%23.42%23.45%24.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.604.004.004.3027.78%24.99%25.00%23.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.99%4.17公平赔率
EV -2.37%
优势 -0.582%
Kelly -0.771%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.07

博彩公司预测分布
23.38%23.97%23.96%25.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.553.803.754.0728.17%26.30%26.67%24.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Celtic (主队):52.59%;LASK (客队):23.42%;平局:23.99%。 对于“LASK (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.27。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.30,对应+0.695%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.61%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.39%EV +0.695%E +0.162%K +0.211%G +0.001%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%EV -7.65%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.61%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.39%EV +0.695%E +0.162%K +0.211%G +0.001%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%EV -7.65%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 18:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -8.49%E -4.88%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -1.65%E -0.392%K -0.515%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-19 18:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -9.54%E -5.55%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -1.65%E -0.392%K -0.515%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 18:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.40%EV -2.70%E -1.46%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.36%EV -2.82%E -0.679%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-19 18:55
Coolbet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -4.80%E -2.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.16%EV -2.82%E -0.679%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -2.85%E -0.703%K -0.934%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-19 18:55
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.37%EV -6.38%E -3.59%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -3.99%E -0.973%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.46%EV -2.85%E -0.703%K -0.934%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 18:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -5.86%E -3.27%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -3.99%E -0.973%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.24%E -3.04%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 18:55
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -5.86%E -3.27%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -3.99%E -0.973%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.24%E -3.04%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 18:55
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -5.86%E -3.27%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -3.99%E -0.973%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.24%E -3.04%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 18:55
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.40%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.56%EV -4.69%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.03%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.20%EV -5.86%E -3.27%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.40%EV -4.69%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.40%EV -2.37%E -0.582%K -0.771%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.20%EV -5.86%E -3.27%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.40%EV -4.69%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.40%EV -2.37%E -0.582%K -0.771%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 18:50
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.53%EV -5.16%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.53%EV -2.85%E -0.703%K -0.934%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 18:50
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 18:43
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.84%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 18:54
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -6.91%E -3.90%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -11.24%E -3.04%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-19 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.74%EV -6.38%E -3.59%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -12.44%E -3.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-19 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.74%EV -6.38%E -3.59%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -12.44%E -3.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-19 18:55
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.74%EV -6.38%E -3.59%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -12.44%E -3.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-19 18:55
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.04%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-19 18:50
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.04%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-19 18:50
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.47%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -7.50%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.88%EV -7.50%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -14.84%E -4.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-19 18:55
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.88%EV -7.50%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -14.84%E -4.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-19 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.67%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 18:40
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -8.67%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.45%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-19 18:10
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -8.67%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -11.24%E -3.04%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-19 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -8.67%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -11.24%E -3.04%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-19 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -8.67%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -11.24%E -3.04%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-19 18:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.65%EV -8.49%E -4.88%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.04%EV -8.67%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -14.84%E -4.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-19 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.65%EV -8.49%E -4.88%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.04%EV -8.67%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -14.84%E -4.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-19 18:55
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.67%EV -12.17%E -7.29%K -18.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -8.67%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -14.84%E -4.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-19 18:55
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.71%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -9.84%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -12.44%E -3.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-19 18:50
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.08%EV -7.43%E -4.22%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.01%E -2.90%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -7.65%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-19 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -9.01%E -5.21%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.01%E -2.90%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.64%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-19 18:40
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -9.01%E -5.21%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.70%E -4.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -8.84%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-19 18:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 53.03%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.32%0.3%2026-08-19 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 53.03%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.32%0.3%2026-08-19 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.16%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-08-19 18:55