Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bodø/Glimt v Union Saint-Gilloise

2026-08-11 16:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bodø/Glimt (Local)

Prediction 55.40%1.81fair odd
EV -0.838%
Edge -0.468%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.60%54.93%55.49%56.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.681.671.7961.73%59.38%59.88%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Union Saint-Gilloise (Visit)

Prediction 23.33%4.29fair odd
EV -0.840%
Edge -0.198%
Kelly -0.258%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.91%23.78%23.43%27.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.343.883.904.2529.94%25.75%25.64%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.27%4.70fair odd
EV +7.63%
Edge +1.51%
Kelly +1.88%
Growth +0.143%

assuming max odds 5.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.24%21.29%21.08%23.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.354.455.0625.32%22.99%22.47%19.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Bodø/Glimt (Local): 55.40%; Union Saint-Gilloise (Visit): 23.33%; Draw: 21.27%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.70. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.06, producing a positive expected value of +7.63%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.38%EV -0.838%E -0.468%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.38%EV -13.91%E -3.77%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 19.24%EV +7.63%E +1.51%K +1.88%G +0.143%2.7%2026-08-05 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.32%EV -1.95%E -1.10%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.73%EV -22.07%E -6.61%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 19.96%EV -1.30%E -0.281%K -0.358%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 15:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.32%EV -1.95%E -1.10%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.73%EV -22.07%E -6.61%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 19.96%EV -1.30%E -0.281%K -0.358%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 15:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -5.82%E -3.43%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.67%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.28%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 19:20
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.93%E -4.13%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.67%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -4.28%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 19:20
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -9.15%E -5.58%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -4.28%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-05 16:00
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -10.26%E -6.33%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -4.28%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-05 16:00
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.41%EV -6.93%E -4.13%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.840%E -0.198%K -0.258%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -5.35%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 19:00
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.41%EV -6.93%E -4.13%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.840%E -0.198%K -0.258%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -5.35%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 19:00
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -10.26%E -6.33%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -11.34%E -2.98%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-05 16:00
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.49%E -4.48%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.75%EV -10.17%E -2.64%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -9.60%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-05 19:20
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -9.70%E -5.95%K -15.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -6.67%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-05 19:00
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -7.49%E -4.48%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.01%E -0.478%K -0.627%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-05 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -7.49%E -4.48%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.01%E -0.478%K -0.627%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-05 19:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -7.49%E -4.48%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.01%E -0.478%K -0.627%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-05 19:00
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.49%E -4.48%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -12.51%E -3.33%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-05 19:03
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.60%EV -5.82%E -3.43%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -21.84%E -6.52%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.21%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-05 19:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (9 combinations) +0.85%1xBet 1.79 (56.3%) / Betsson 4.25 (23.7%) / 1xBet 5.06 (19.9%)Show all 9 combinations
Bodø/Glimt (Local)Union Saint-Gilloise (Visit)DrawMargin
1xBet🎯 1.79 (56.3%)Betsson🎯 4.25 (23.7%)1xBet🎯 5.06 (19.9%)+0.849%
1xBet🎯 1.79 (56.3%)NordicBet🎯 4.25 (23.7%)1xBet🎯 5.06 (19.9%)+0.849%
1xBet🎯 1.79 (56.2%)888sport🎯 4.20 (23.9%)1xBet🎯 5.06 (19.9%)+0.565%
1xBet🎯 1.79 (56.2%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 4.20 (23.9%)1xBet🎯 5.06 (19.9%)+0.565%
1xBet🎯 1.79 (56.2%)888sport (SE)🎯 4.20 (23.9%)1xBet🎯 5.06 (19.9%)+0.565%
BetOnline.ag🎯 1.77 (56.6%)Betsson🎯 4.25 (23.6%)1xBet🎯 5.06 (19.8%)+0.211%
BetOnline.ag🎯 1.77 (56.6%)NordicBet🎯 4.25 (23.6%)1xBet🎯 5.06 (19.8%)+0.211%
LowVig.ag🎯 1.77 (56.6%)Betsson🎯 4.25 (23.6%)1xBet🎯 5.06 (19.8%)+0.211%
LowVig.ag🎯 1.77 (56.6%)NordicBet🎯 4.25 (23.6%)1xBet🎯 5.06 (19.8%)+0.211%